Both PL party candidates Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni anchor the race for Santa Catarina's Senate seats in the October 2026 elections, with the former Rio councilman relocating to contest and the congresswoman backed by Michelle Bolsonaro. Recent Neokemp polling shows the pair dominating first-preference support while other names including Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, and Afrânio Boppré register low single digits. The market's tight pricing reflects intra-party competition, strong regional PL infrastructure, and uncertainty over final turnout among conservative voters. No major scandals or endorsements have shifted momentum in the past month, leaving room for late polling swings or campaign events to separate the leaders before ballots close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Carlos Bolsonaro 56%
Carol de Toni 36%
Joaninha de Oliveira 2.7%
Décio Lima 2.7%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Bolsonaro
56%
Carol de Toni
36%
Joaninha de Oliveira
3%
Décio Lima
3%
Afrânio Boppré
3%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
2%
Carol
2%
Marlene Soccas
2%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
2%
Marcos Dorval
2%
Esperidião Amin
1%
Jeferson da Rocha
<1%
Lunelli
<1%
Carlos Bolsonaro 56%
Carol de Toni 36%
Joaninha de Oliveira 2.7%
Décio Lima 2.7%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Bolsonaro
$659 Wol.
56%
Carol de Toni
$1,205 Wol.
36%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$172 Wol.
3%
Décio Lima
$142 Wol.
3%
Afrânio Boppré
$142 Wol.
3%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$126 Wol.
2%
Carol
$126 Wol.
2%
Marlene Soccas
$215 Wol.
2%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$447 Wol.
2%
Marcos Dorval
$94 Wol.
2%
Esperidião Amin
$126 Wol.
1%
Jeferson da Rocha
$126 Wol.
<1%
Lunelli
$201 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Both PL party candidates Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni anchor the race for Santa Catarina's Senate seats in the October 2026 elections, with the former Rio councilman relocating to contest and the congresswoman backed by Michelle Bolsonaro. Recent Neokemp polling shows the pair dominating first-preference support while other names including Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, and Afrânio Boppré register low single digits. The market's tight pricing reflects intra-party competition, strong regional PL infrastructure, and uncertainty over final turnout among conservative voters. No major scandals or endorsements have shifted momentum in the past month, leaving room for late polling swings or campaign events to separate the leaders before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,784Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Both PL party candidates Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni anchor the race for Santa Catarina's Senate seats in the October 2026 elections, with the former Rio councilman relocating to contest and the congresswoman backed by Michelle Bolsonaro. Recent Neokemp polling shows the pair dominating first-preference support while other names including Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, and Afrânio Boppré register low single digits. The market's tight pricing reflects intra-party competition, strong regional PL infrastructure, and uncertainty over final turnout among conservative voters. No major scandals or endorsements have shifted momentum in the past month, leaving room for late polling swings or campaign events to separate the leaders before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$3,784Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Both PL party candidates Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni anchor the race for Santa Catarina's Senate seats in the October 2026 elections, with the former Rio councilman relocating to contest and the congresswoman backed by Michelle Bolsonaro. Recent Neokemp polling shows the pair dominating first-preference support while other names including Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, and Afrânio Boppré register low single digits. The market's tight pricing reflects intra-party competition, strong regional PL infrastructure, and uncertainty over final turnout among conservative voters. No major scandals or endorsements have shifted momentum in the past month, leaving room for late polling swings or campaign events to separate the leaders before ballots close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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