The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through May 31 stems from the lengthy constitutional processes required for removal or resignation, including Senate trials, cabinet invocations of the 25th Amendment, or formal announcements, none of which are underway. No recent legislative actions, court rulings, or official statements from the administration indicate any imminent departure, and historical patterns show presidents rarely exit office on such short notice absent acute crises. While sudden health events, unanticipated scandals, or last-minute diplomatic developments could theoretically shift outcomes before the deadline, these remain low-probability scenarios given the current absence of triggering conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$1,613,075 Wol.
$1,613,075 Wol.
May 31, 2026
$1,613,075 Wol.
$1,613,075 Wol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through May 31 stems from the lengthy constitutional processes required for removal or resignation, including Senate trials, cabinet invocations of the 25th Amendment, or formal announcements, none of which are underway. No recent legislative actions, court rulings, or official statements from the administration indicate any imminent departure, and historical patterns show presidents rarely exit office on such short notice absent acute crises. While sudden health events, unanticipated scandals, or last-minute diplomatic developments could theoretically shift outcomes before the deadline, these remain low-probability scenarios given the current absence of triggering conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,613,075Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through May 31 stems from the lengthy constitutional processes required for removal or resignation, including Senate trials, cabinet invocations of the 25th Amendment, or formal announcements, none of which are underway. No recent legislative actions, court rulings, or official statements from the administration indicate any imminent departure, and historical patterns show presidents rarely exit office on such short notice absent acute crises. While sudden health events, unanticipated scandals, or last-minute diplomatic developments could theoretically shift outcomes before the deadline, these remain low-probability scenarios given the current absence of triggering conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,613,075Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through May 31 stems from the lengthy constitutional processes required for removal or resignation, including Senate trials, cabinet invocations of the 25th Amendment, or formal announcements, none of which are underway. No recent legislative actions, court rulings, or official statements from the administration indicate any imminent departure, and historical patterns show presidents rarely exit office on such short notice absent acute crises. While sudden health events, unanticipated scandals, or last-minute diplomatic developments could theoretically shift outcomes before the deadline, these remain low-probability scenarios given the current absence of triggering conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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