Bipartisan proposals such as the FRONTIER Act and related Senate drafts have advanced through House committees and gained negotiating momentum in the Senate Commerce Committee, yet persistent disagreements over preemption of state laws, enforcement mechanisms, and liability standards have stalled progress. With the 2026 session nearing its close amid midterm pressures and a packed legislative calendar, House leadership has signaled limited appetite for floor action before year-end, favoring further review into 2027. Executive orders and voluntary industry frameworks continue to shape federal policy instead. Traders reflect this timeline and consensus barriers in pricing an 89.5% chance that no comprehensive AI safety bill reaches enactment before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
11% szansa
$132,418 Wol.
$132,418 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
11% szansa
$132,418 Wol.
$132,418 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan proposals such as the FRONTIER Act and related Senate drafts have advanced through House committees and gained negotiating momentum in the Senate Commerce Committee, yet persistent disagreements over preemption of state laws, enforcement mechanisms, and liability standards have stalled progress. With the 2026 session nearing its close amid midterm pressures and a packed legislative calendar, House leadership has signaled limited appetite for floor action before year-end, favoring further review into 2027. Executive orders and voluntary industry frameworks continue to shape federal policy instead. Traders reflect this timeline and consensus barriers in pricing an 89.5% chance that no comprehensive AI safety bill reaches enactment before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$132,418Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan proposals such as the FRONTIER Act and related Senate drafts have advanced through House committees and gained negotiating momentum in the Senate Commerce Committee, yet persistent disagreements over preemption of state laws, enforcement mechanisms, and liability standards have stalled progress. With the 2026 session nearing its close amid midterm pressures and a packed legislative calendar, House leadership has signaled limited appetite for floor action before year-end, favoring further review into 2027. Executive orders and voluntary industry frameworks continue to shape federal policy instead. Traders reflect this timeline and consensus barriers in pricing an 89.5% chance that no comprehensive AI safety bill reaches enactment before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$132,418Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan proposals such as the FRONTIER Act and related Senate drafts have advanced through House committees and gained negotiating momentum in the Senate Commerce Committee, yet persistent disagreements over preemption of state laws, enforcement mechanisms, and liability standards have stalled progress. With the 2026 session nearing its close amid midterm pressures and a packed legislative calendar, House leadership has signaled limited appetite for floor action before year-end, favoring further review into 2027. Executive orders and voluntary industry frameworks continue to shape federal policy instead. Traders reflect this timeline and consensus barriers in pricing an 89.5% chance that no comprehensive AI safety bill reaches enactment before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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