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icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

94% szansa
Polymarket

$14,450 Wol.

94% szansa
Polymarket

$14,450 Wol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. **The U.S. State Department announced in late April 2026 plans for a limited-edition passport redesign featuring President Trump's portrait and signature on an interior page, tied to the nation's 250th anniversary commemorations in July.** The design places the image over Declaration of Independence text, with issuance slated to begin this summer via the Washington Passport Agency as the default for in-person renewals there. This official action by the agency responsible for passport production and distribution directly supports the current trader consensus around a 78% implied probability of issuance by July 31, 2026. No subsequent procedural delays, funding issues, or successful legal challenges have emerged in the intervening weeks to alter the timeline. While some lawmakers have voiced opposition and called for halting the project, the administration has proceeded with the approved mockups and rollout schedule. The outcome hinges on whether the first batches reach applicants before the market's cutoff, consistent with standard federal agency execution of commemorative designs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Wolumen
$14,450
Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. **The U.S. State Department announced in late April 2026 plans for a limited-edition passport redesign featuring President Trump's portrait and signature on an interior page, tied to the nation's 250th anniversary commemorations in July.** The design places the image over Declaration of Independence text, with issuance slated to begin this summer via the Washington Passport Agency as the default for in-person renewals there. This official action by the agency responsible for passport production and distribution directly supports the current trader consensus around a 78% implied probability of issuance by July 31, 2026. No subsequent procedural delays, funding issues, or successful legal challenges have emerged in the intervening weeks to alter the timeline. While some lawmakers have voiced opposition and called for halting the project, the administration has proceeded with the approved mockups and rollout schedule. The outcome hinges on whether the first batches reach applicants before the market's cutoff, consistent with standard federal agency execution of commemorative designs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Wolumen
$14,450
Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.

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Często zadawane pytania

"U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 94% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 94¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 94% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" wygenerował $14.4K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 28, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" to 94% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 94% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

Zasady rozstrzygania "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.