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Gospodarka·Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?
Gospodarka·Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?

$1.181M - $1.190M 64%

$1.172M - $1.181M 42%

$1.190M - $1.199M 2.5%

$1.199M - $1.208M 1.0%

Polymarket
NOWE

$1.181M - $1.190M 64%

$1.172M - $1.181M 42%

$1.190M - $1.199M 2.5%

$1.199M - $1.208M 1.0%

Polymarket
NOWE

<$1.172M

$279 Wol.

40%

$1.172M - $1.181M

$471 Wol.

39%

$1.181M - $1.190M

$681 Wol.

69%

$1.190M - $1.199M

$254 Wol.

2%

$1.199M - $1.208M

$169 Wol.

1%

$1.208M - $1.216M

$149 Wol.

<1%

>$1.216M

$149 Wol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Los Angeles metro median sale prices and home values holding near $950,000–$1.05 million through May 2026, with modest year-over-year declines of 0.7–0.9% amid elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5% and persistent affordability constraints limiting buyer demand. These conditions, coupled with steady but not accelerating inventory levels and limited spring-season momentum, have kept upward price pressure contained, supporting the market-implied odds that favor the <$1.172 million outcome at 46.5%. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects the absence of near-term catalysts such as sharp rate cuts or supply shocks that could lift values into higher bins by the June 30 resolution date.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Wolumen
$2,151
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Los Angeles metro median sale prices and home values holding near $950,000–$1.05 million through May 2026, with modest year-over-year declines of 0.7–0.9% amid elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5% and persistent affordability constraints limiting buyer demand. These conditions, coupled with steady but not accelerating inventory levels and limited spring-season momentum, have kept upward price pressure contained, supporting the market-implied odds that favor the <$1.172 million outcome at 46.5%. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects the absence of near-term catalysts such as sharp rate cuts or supply shocks that could lift values into higher bins by the June 30 resolution date.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Wolumen
$2,151
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)

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Często zadawane pytania

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "$1.181M - $1.190M" z 69%, za nim "<$1.172M" z 40%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 69¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 69% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jun 3, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?" jest "$1.181M - $1.190M" z 69%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 69% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "<$1.172M" z 40%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.