California's 22nd congressional district features a November 2026 general election matchup between incumbent Republican David Valadao and Democratic nominee Randy Villegas, who advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the Central Valley seat toward greater Democratic performance, reflected in voter registration advantages and a narrow Trump margin in the prior cycle. Recent polling shows a close contest with a slight Democratic edge, while forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus in this market reflects the impact of these structural changes and the incumbent's moderate profile on the general election outlook.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-22 House Election Winner
CA-22 House Election Winner
$11,708 Wol.
$11,708 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
14%
$11,708 Wol.
$11,708 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,063 Wol.
87%
Republican Party
$5,645 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 22nd congressional district features a November 2026 general election matchup between incumbent Republican David Valadao and Democratic nominee Randy Villegas, who advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the Central Valley seat toward greater Democratic performance, reflected in voter registration advantages and a narrow Trump margin in the prior cycle. Recent polling shows a close contest with a slight Democratic edge, while forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus in this market reflects the impact of these structural changes and the incumbent's moderate profile on the general election outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,708Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 22nd congressional district features a November 2026 general election matchup between incumbent Republican David Valadao and Democratic nominee Randy Villegas, who advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the Central Valley seat toward greater Democratic performance, reflected in voter registration advantages and a narrow Trump margin in the prior cycle. Recent polling shows a close contest with a slight Democratic edge, while forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus in this market reflects the impact of these structural changes and the incumbent's moderate profile on the general election outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$11,708Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 22nd congressional district features a November 2026 general election matchup between incumbent Republican David Valadao and Democratic nominee Randy Villegas, who advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the Central Valley seat toward greater Democratic performance, reflected in voter registration advantages and a narrow Trump margin in the prior cycle. Recent polling shows a close contest with a slight Democratic edge, while forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus in this market reflects the impact of these structural changes and the incumbent's moderate profile on the general election outlook.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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