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Will gas hit __ by end of August?

icon for Will gas hit __ by end of August?

Will gas hit __ by end of August?

Aug 31

Aug 31

NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$8,884 Wol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$2,364 Wol.

4%

↑ $4.75

$297 Wol.

2%

↑ $4.50

$2,105 Wol.

11%

↑ $4.25

$1,585 Wol.

18%

↓ $3.90

$487 Wol.

19%

↓ $3.70

$1,502 Wol.

9%

↓ $3.50

$155 Wol.

5%

↓ $3.25

$18 Wol.

3%

↓ $3.00

$133 Wol.

6%

↓ $2.50

$239 Wol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent U.S. retail gasoline prices have stabilized near $4.07 per gallon amid crude oil trading around $80 per barrel and elevated seasonal demand. Record mid-August levels reflect persistent refinery margins and supply constraints, while the EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook highlights ample global crude inventories and steady OPEC+ output as key downward pressures. With only two weeks remaining until month-end, weekly EIA storage reports, potential weather-driven demand shifts, and any unexpected refinery outages represent the main near-term catalysts that could alter the trajectory. Traders price these markets as real-money aggregates of supply-demand balances rather than point forecasts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Wolumen
$8,884
Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://gasprices.aaa.com/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent U.S. retail gasoline prices have stabilized near $4.07 per gallon amid crude oil trading around $80 per barrel and elevated seasonal demand. Record mid-August levels reflect persistent refinery margins and supply constraints, while the EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook highlights ample global crude inventories and steady OPEC+ output as key downward pressures. With only two weeks remaining until month-end, weekly EIA storage reports, potential weather-driven demand shifts, and any unexpected refinery outages represent the main near-term catalysts that could alter the trajectory. Traders price these markets as real-money aggregates of supply-demand balances rather than point forecasts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Wolumen
$8,884
Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://gasprices.aaa.com/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

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Często zadawane pytania

"Will gas hit __ by end of August?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 10 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "↓ $3.90" z 19%, za nim "↑ $4.25" z 18%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 19¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 19% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Will gas hit __ by end of August?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jul 29, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Will gas hit __ by end of August?", przeglądaj 10 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Will gas hit __ by end of August?" jest "↓ $3.90" z 19%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 19% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "↑ $4.25" z 18%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Will gas hit __ by end of August?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.