Argentina’s monthly consumer price index for May 2026 is expected to reflect continued disinflation following the April reading of 2.6 percent month-over-month, down 0.8 percentage points from March. This deceleration aligns with the central bank’s latest market expectations survey and analyst consensus forecasts centered near 2.5 percent, driven by tight monetary policy and fiscal adjustments under the current administration. Trader positioning on Polymarket assigns a 61 percent implied probability to the 2.2–2.4 percent range, consistent with the observed trend in year-to-date inflation and leading indicators of moderating price pressures across sectors. The May print, scheduled for release in mid-June, will serve as the next key data point influencing rate-path expectations and currency stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado2.2–2.4% 64%
≤2,1% 29%
2.5–2.7% 21%
2.8–3.0% 11%
$46,634 Vol.
$46,634 Vol.
≤2,1%
26%
2.2–2.4%
64%
2.5–2.7%
21%
2.8–3.0%
11%
3.1–3.3%
6%
3.4–3.6%
6%
3.7–3.9%
6%
4.0%+
3%
2.2–2.4% 64%
≤2,1% 29%
2.5–2.7% 21%
2.8–3.0% 11%
$46,634 Vol.
$46,634 Vol.
≤2,1%
26%
2.2–2.4%
64%
2.5–2.7%
21%
2.8–3.0%
11%
3.1–3.3%
6%
3.4–3.6%
6%
3.7–3.9%
6%
4.0%+
3%
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina’s monthly consumer price index for May 2026 is expected to reflect continued disinflation following the April reading of 2.6 percent month-over-month, down 0.8 percentage points from March. This deceleration aligns with the central bank’s latest market expectations survey and analyst consensus forecasts centered near 2.5 percent, driven by tight monetary policy and fiscal adjustments under the current administration. Trader positioning on Polymarket assigns a 61 percent implied probability to the 2.2–2.4 percent range, consistent with the observed trend in year-to-date inflation and leading indicators of moderating price pressures across sectors. The May print, scheduled for release in mid-June, will serve as the next key data point influencing rate-path expectations and currency stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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