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Economia·Taxas Globais

Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?

icon for Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?
Economia·Taxas Globais

Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?

jun 18

jul 30

jun 18

jul 30

Nenhuma mudança 85%

Aumento de 25 pontos-base 15%

Aumento de mais de 50 pontos-base <1%

Redução de mais de 50 pontos-base <1%

Polymarket

$145,140 Vol.

Nenhuma mudança 85%

Aumento de 25 pontos-base 15%

Aumento de mais de 50 pontos-base <1%

Redução de mais de 50 pontos-base <1%

Polymarket

$145,140 Vol.

Redução de mais de 50 pontos-base

$24,775 Vol.

<1%

Redução de 25 pontos base

$25,106 Vol.

<1%

Nenhuma mudança

$30,609 Vol.

85%

Aumento de 25 pontos-base

$40,777 Vol.

15%

Aumento de mais de 50 pontos-base

$23,874 Vol.

1%

The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote, with one member favoring a 25 basis point hike, anchors trader expectations for no change at the June 18 meeting. March 2026 CPI inflation climbed to 3.3% year-over-year, fueled by energy price pass-through from Middle East supply disruptions, prompting Governor Bailey to flag unavoidable upside risks and potential forceful tightening later if oil costs remain elevated. Market-implied odds of 85.5% for no change reflect the MPC’s assessment that labor-market slack continues to dampen second-round effects despite the inflation overshoot, while the slim 14.5% probability on a 25 basis point increase captures lingering hawkish dissent. April labor data and May wage figures will be the key near-term inputs shaping the June path versus official guidance.

The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$145,140
Data de Término
18 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote, with one member favoring a 25 basis point hike, anchors trader expectations for no change at the June 18 meeting. March 2026 CPI inflation climbed to 3.3% year-over-year, fueled by energy price pass-through from Middle East supply disruptions, prompting Governor Bailey to flag unavoidable upside risks and potential forceful tightening later if oil costs remain elevated. Market-implied odds of 85.5% for no change reflect the MPC’s assessment that labor-market slack continues to dampen second-round effects despite the inflation overshoot, while the slim 14.5% probability on a 25 basis point increase captures lingering hawkish dissent. April labor data and May wage figures will be the key near-term inputs shaping the June path versus official guidance.

The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$145,140
Data de Término
18 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nenhuma mudança" at 85%, followed by "Aumento de 25 pontos-base" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?" has generated $145.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?" is "Nenhuma mudança" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aumento de 25 pontos-base" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.