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Economia·Taxas Globais

Decisão do Banco da Rússia em junho?

icon for Decisão do Banco da Rússia em junho?
Economia·Taxas Globais

Decisão do Banco da Rússia em junho?

jun 19

jul 24

jun 19

jul 24

Decrease 86%

No Change 13%

Increase 2.1%

Polymarket

$50,676 Vol.

Decrease 86%

No Change 13%

Increase 2.1%

Polymarket

$50,676 Vol.

Decrease

$20,173 Vol.

86%

No Change

$10,324 Vol.

13%

Increase

$20,180 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.50% has anchored trader expectations for another easing move at the June 19 meeting, with the current 14.50% policy rate reflecting accumulated monetary tightness amid cooling inflation pressures. Year-over-year inflation has moderated toward 5.7-5.9% in recent readings, supported by ruble appreciation near 74 USD/RUB and easing inflation expectations, aligning with the central bank's baseline forecast for an average key rate of 14.0-14.5% in 2026 and a return to the 4% target by year-end. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties underpin the modest 12.5% probability of no change, while any rate hike remains remote at 2.1%. May CPI data and Governor Nabiullina's communications will provide key signals ahead of the next policy decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$50,676
Data de Término
19 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.50% has anchored trader expectations for another easing move at the June 19 meeting, with the current 14.50% policy rate reflecting accumulated monetary tightness amid cooling inflation pressures. Year-over-year inflation has moderated toward 5.7-5.9% in recent readings, supported by ruble appreciation near 74 USD/RUB and easing inflation expectations, aligning with the central bank's baseline forecast for an average key rate of 14.0-14.5% in 2026 and a return to the 4% target by year-end. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties underpin the modest 12.5% probability of no change, while any rate hike remains remote at 2.1%. May CPI data and Governor Nabiullina's communications will provide key signals ahead of the next policy decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$50,676
Data de Término
19 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Decisão do Banco da Rússia em junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Decrease" at 86%, followed by "No Change" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Decisão do Banco da Rússia em junho?" has generated $50.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Decisão do Banco da Rússia em junho?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Decisão do Banco da Rússia em junho?" is "Decrease" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No Change" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Decisão do Banco da Rússia em junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.