Recent polling shows former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra consolidating Democratic support and taking a narrow lead in the crowded June 2 top-two primary, aided by Eric Swalwell’s exit amid misconduct allegations. Becerra now tops surveys at around 19 percent, ahead of Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer at 17 percent each, with the remaining field fragmented. Traders assign Becerra the highest probability of finishing first, viewing his gains among Democratic voters and the state’s partisan imbalance as decisive advantages over Hilton’s steady Republican backing and Steyer’s self-funded campaign. A final debate and late undecided voters could still shift the order before primary ballots are counted.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoXavier Becerra 47%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Chad Bianco 3.8%
$27,901 Vol.
$27,901 Vol.
Xavier Becerra
47%
Tom Steyer
25%
Steve Hilton
23%
Chad Bianco
4%
Matt Mahan
2%
Katie Porter
2%
Nicki Minaj
1%
Raji Rab
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Derek Grasty
<1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Elaine Culotti
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Carolina Buhler
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Leo Zacky
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
Xavier Becerra 47%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Chad Bianco 3.8%
$27,901 Vol.
$27,901 Vol.
Xavier Becerra
47%
Tom Steyer
25%
Steve Hilton
23%
Chad Bianco
4%
Matt Mahan
2%
Katie Porter
2%
Nicki Minaj
1%
Raji Rab
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Derek Grasty
<1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Elaine Culotti
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Carolina Buhler
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Leo Zacky
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra consolidating Democratic support and taking a narrow lead in the crowded June 2 top-two primary, aided by Eric Swalwell’s exit amid misconduct allegations. Becerra now tops surveys at around 19 percent, ahead of Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer at 17 percent each, with the remaining field fragmented. Traders assign Becerra the highest probability of finishing first, viewing his gains among Democratic voters and the state’s partisan imbalance as decisive advantages over Hilton’s steady Republican backing and Steyer’s self-funded campaign. A final debate and late undecided voters could still shift the order before primary ballots are counted.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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