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icon for A cor da gravata de Donald Trump no jantar da WHCA?

A cor da gravata de Donald Trump no jantar da WHCA?

icon for A cor da gravata de Donald Trump no jantar da WHCA?

A cor da gravata de Donald Trump no jantar da WHCA?

Outro 81%

Vermelha 17%

Azul 8%

Amarela 5%

Polymarket
NOVO

Outro 81%

Vermelha 17%

Azul 8%

Amarela 5%

Polymarket
NOVO

Outro

$187 Vol.

81%

Vermelha

$150 Vol.

17%

Azul

$50 Vol.

8%

Amarela

$50 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner currently scheduled for July 24, 2026. The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos of the event. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, or if the event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's attendance at the rescheduled White House Correspondents' Association dinner on July 24 creates the setting for this tie-color market, with traders assigning nearly identical probabilities across blue, red, and yellow while favoring other at 50 percent. The tight spread reflects the absence of confirmed details on his preferred attire for the black-tie event at the Waldorf Astoria and his documented pattern of rotating through multiple suit-and-tie combinations without consistent signaling ahead of time. No recent public statements, staff briefings, or advance images have emerged to shift consensus. Separation could occur through real-time red-carpet arrivals, last-minute wardrobe adjustments, or any official remarks that highlight a specific color choice before the dinner begins.

This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner currently scheduled for July 24, 2026.

The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos of the event. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg

The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg

If Donald Trump does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, or if the event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$437
Data de Término
24 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner currently scheduled for July 24, 2026. The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos of the event. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, or if the event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner currently scheduled for July 24, 2026. The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos of the event. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, or if the event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's attendance at the rescheduled White House Correspondents' Association dinner on July 24 creates the setting for this tie-color market, with traders assigning nearly identical probabilities across blue, red, and yellow while favoring other at 50 percent. The tight spread reflects the absence of confirmed details on his preferred attire for the black-tie event at the Waldorf Astoria and his documented pattern of rotating through multiple suit-and-tie combinations without consistent signaling ahead of time. No recent public statements, staff briefings, or advance images have emerged to shift consensus. Separation could occur through real-time red-carpet arrivals, last-minute wardrobe adjustments, or any official remarks that highlight a specific color choice before the dinner begins.

This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner currently scheduled for July 24, 2026.

The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos of the event. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg

The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg

If Donald Trump does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, or if the event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$437
Data de Término
24 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner currently scheduled for July 24, 2026. The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos of the event. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, or if the event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"A cor da gravata de Donald Trump no jantar da WHCA?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Outro" at 81%, followed by "Vermelha" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"A cor da gravata de Donald Trump no jantar da WHCA?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "A cor da gravata de Donald Trump no jantar da WHCA?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A cor da gravata de Donald Trump no jantar da WHCA?" is "Outro" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vermelha" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A cor da gravata de Donald Trump no jantar da WHCA?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.