Trader consensus positions the 160-179 tweet range as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity on X during August 11-18, driven by his established weekly cadence of platform engagement across business updates, public commentary, and cultural moments. With the window nearly complete, implied probabilities reflect steady posting momentum without major disruptions from product launches, regulatory news, or high-profile exchanges that might accelerate volume toward the 180-199 band. Historical patterns show consistent output in this range absent breaking developments, while any final-day statements on Tesla, xAI, or broader discourse could still nudge totals. The market aggregates trader assessments of these social media dynamics with real capital at stake.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado160-179 48%
180-199 37%
200-219 9%
140-159 7.3%
$1,703,232 Vol.
$1,703,232 Vol.
18 ago 2026
140-159
7%
160-179
48%
180-199
37%
200-219
9%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 48%
180-199 37%
200-219 9%
140-159 7.3%
$1,703,232 Vol.
$1,703,232 Vol.
18 ago 2026
140-159
$235,520 Vol.
7%
160-179
$144,994 Vol.
48%
180-199
$107,562 Vol.
37%
200-219
$91,161 Vol.
9%
220-239
$87,708 Vol.
1%
240-259
$102,645 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$87,814 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$90,648 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$83,049 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$43,368 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$42,323 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$29,969 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$25,087 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$22,118 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$15,300 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$15,044 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$6,196 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$5,696 Vol.
<1%
500+
$43,869 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus positions the 160-179 tweet range as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity on X during August 11-18, driven by his established weekly cadence of platform engagement across business updates, public commentary, and cultural moments. With the window nearly complete, implied probabilities reflect steady posting momentum without major disruptions from product launches, regulatory news, or high-profile exchanges that might accelerate volume toward the 180-199 band. Historical patterns show consistent output in this range absent breaking developments, while any final-day statements on Tesla, xAI, or broader discourse could still nudge totals. The market aggregates trader assessments of these social media dynamics with real capital at stake.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,703,232Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus positions the 160-179 tweet range as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity on X during August 11-18, driven by his established weekly cadence of platform engagement across business updates, public commentary, and cultural moments. With the window nearly complete, implied probabilities reflect steady posting momentum without major disruptions from product launches, regulatory news, or high-profile exchanges that might accelerate volume toward the 180-199 band. Historical patterns show consistent output in this range absent breaking developments, while any final-day statements on Tesla, xAI, or broader discourse could still nudge totals. The market aggregates trader assessments of these social media dynamics with real capital at stake.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,703,232Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions the 160-179 tweet range as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity on X during August 11-18, driven by his established weekly cadence of platform engagement across business updates, public commentary, and cultural moments. With the window nearly complete, implied probabilities reflect steady posting momentum without major disruptions from product launches, regulatory news, or high-profile exchanges that might accelerate volume toward the 180-199 band. Historical patterns show consistent output in this range absent breaking developments, while any final-day statements on Tesla, xAI, or broader discourse could still nudge totals. The market aggregates trader assessments of these social media dynamics with real capital at stake.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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