Traders see the 160-179 tweet range as the clearest consensus for Elon Musk’s X activity through August 18 because it aligns with his established daily posting rhythm outside major breaking news cycles. The market places the 180-199 band as a solid secondary outcome, reflecting occasional spikes when Musk engages with viral threads, policy debates, or platform updates. No confirmed announcements, high-profile appearances, or external controversies in the past week have materially altered that trajectory, keeping implied probabilities stable. With the counting period nearly complete, final tallies hinge on any last-minute replies or threads that could push volume toward the upper end of the leading bracket.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado160-179 59%
180-199 26%
140-159 11.3%
200-219 3.9%
$1,831,460 Vol.
$1,831,460 Vol.
18 ago 2026
140-159
11%
160-179
59%
180-199
26%
200-219
4%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 59%
180-199 26%
140-159 11.3%
200-219 3.9%
$1,831,460 Vol.
$1,831,460 Vol.
18 ago 2026
140-159
$271,834 Vol.
11%
160-179
$155,524 Vol.
59%
180-199
$120,108 Vol.
26%
200-219
$107,796 Vol.
4%
220-239
$95,784 Vol.
1%
240-259
$127,546 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$107,908 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$91,008 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$83,049 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$43,368 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$42,323 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$29,969 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$25,087 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$22,118 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$15,300 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$15,044 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$6,196 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$5,696 Vol.
<1%
500+
$43,869 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 160-179 tweet range as the clearest consensus for Elon Musk’s X activity through August 18 because it aligns with his established daily posting rhythm outside major breaking news cycles. The market places the 180-199 band as a solid secondary outcome, reflecting occasional spikes when Musk engages with viral threads, policy debates, or platform updates. No confirmed announcements, high-profile appearances, or external controversies in the past week have materially altered that trajectory, keeping implied probabilities stable. With the counting period nearly complete, final tallies hinge on any last-minute replies or threads that could push volume toward the upper end of the leading bracket.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,831,460Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 160-179 tweet range as the clearest consensus for Elon Musk’s X activity through August 18 because it aligns with his established daily posting rhythm outside major breaking news cycles. The market places the 180-199 band as a solid secondary outcome, reflecting occasional spikes when Musk engages with viral threads, policy debates, or platform updates. No confirmed announcements, high-profile appearances, or external controversies in the past week have materially altered that trajectory, keeping implied probabilities stable. With the counting period nearly complete, final tallies hinge on any last-minute replies or threads that could push volume toward the upper end of the leading bracket.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,831,460Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 160-179 tweet range as the clearest consensus for Elon Musk’s X activity through August 18 because it aligns with his established daily posting rhythm outside major breaking news cycles. The market places the 180-199 band as a solid secondary outcome, reflecting occasional spikes when Musk engages with viral threads, policy debates, or platform updates. No confirmed announcements, high-profile appearances, or external controversies in the past week have materially altered that trajectory, keeping implied probabilities stable. With the counting period nearly complete, final tallies hinge on any last-minute replies or threads that could push volume toward the upper end of the leading bracket.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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