Traders heavily favor the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets because Elon Musk’s posting volume has trended lower in recent comparable windows, with daily averages hovering in the low-to-mid 20s across multiple August stretches. Weekend timing and a focus on targeted replies about SpaceX records, Tesla domestic content, and Grok updates have kept main-feed output modest rather than the multi-dozen spikes seen during high-news cycles. Partial data through August 17 shows steady but contained activity without the political or viral threads that typically inflate counts. Market-implied odds therefore cluster in the lower ranges, reflecting observed patterns and the short three-day window’s limited upside potential absent a major breaking development.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado<40 62%
40-64 35%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$435,603 Vol.
$435,603 Vol.
17 ago 2026
<40
62%
40-64
35%
65-89
<1%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
<40 62%
40-64 35%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$435,603 Vol.
$435,603 Vol.
17 ago 2026
<40
$117,963 Vol.
62%
40-64
$69,653 Vol.
35%
65-89
$94,809 Vol.
<1%
90-114
$67,031 Vol.
<1%
115-139
$48,694 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$16,923 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$8,347 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,264 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$4,806 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,113 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders heavily favor the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets because Elon Musk’s posting volume has trended lower in recent comparable windows, with daily averages hovering in the low-to-mid 20s across multiple August stretches. Weekend timing and a focus on targeted replies about SpaceX records, Tesla domestic content, and Grok updates have kept main-feed output modest rather than the multi-dozen spikes seen during high-news cycles. Partial data through August 17 shows steady but contained activity without the political or viral threads that typically inflate counts. Market-implied odds therefore cluster in the lower ranges, reflecting observed patterns and the short three-day window’s limited upside potential absent a major breaking development.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$435,603Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders heavily favor the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets because Elon Musk’s posting volume has trended lower in recent comparable windows, with daily averages hovering in the low-to-mid 20s across multiple August stretches. Weekend timing and a focus on targeted replies about SpaceX records, Tesla domestic content, and Grok updates have kept main-feed output modest rather than the multi-dozen spikes seen during high-news cycles. Partial data through August 17 shows steady but contained activity without the political or viral threads that typically inflate counts. Market-implied odds therefore cluster in the lower ranges, reflecting observed patterns and the short three-day window’s limited upside potential absent a major breaking development.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$435,603Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets because Elon Musk’s posting volume has trended lower in recent comparable windows, with daily averages hovering in the low-to-mid 20s across multiple August stretches. Weekend timing and a focus on targeted replies about SpaceX records, Tesla domestic content, and Grok updates have kept main-feed output modest rather than the multi-dozen spikes seen during high-news cycles. Partial data through August 17 shows steady but contained activity without the political or viral threads that typically inflate counts. Market-implied odds therefore cluster in the lower ranges, reflecting observed patterns and the short three-day window’s limited upside potential absent a major breaking development.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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