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icon for Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?

180-199 20%

200-219 18.3%

160-179 17%

220-239 12.7%

Polymarket

$4,201,297 Vol.

180-199 20%

200-219 18.3%

160-179 17%

220-239 12.7%

Polymarket

$4,201,297 Vol.

60-79

$258,849 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$249,159 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$230,837 Vol.

1%

120-139

$175,210 Vol.

3%

140-159

$156,195 Vol.

10%

160-179

$131,004 Vol.

17%

180-199

$111,589 Vol.

20%

200-219

$155,351 Vol.

18%

220-239

$145,240 Vol.

13%

240-259

$107,916 Vol.

8%

260-279

$116,924 Vol.

5%

280-299

$106,247 Vol.

3%

300-319

$131,512 Vol.

1%

320-339

$110,000 Vol.

1%

340-359

$138,458 Vol.

1%

360-379

$136,024 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$157,072 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$168,844 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$237,220 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$121,203 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$125,876 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$168,834 Vol.

<1%

500+

$269,821 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from his pattern of rapid, real-time reactions to xAI product updates, Grok feature rollouts, and viral platform moments, which have kept daily output steady amid ongoing beta improvements and community feedback loops. With the week already halfway complete, trader consensus clusters around the 160–239 range because historical weekly averages for Musk typically land there when no major external campaign or controversy spikes activity. Recent Grok Build enhancements and related memes have added incremental posts without pushing totals into outlier territory, while the absence of any single breaking news cycle has kept momentum balanced. Upcoming chart updates or any sudden policy announcements could still shift volume in either direction before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,201,297
Data de Término
22 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from his pattern of rapid, real-time reactions to xAI product updates, Grok feature rollouts, and viral platform moments, which have kept daily output steady amid ongoing beta improvements and community feedback loops. With the week already halfway complete, trader consensus clusters around the 160–239 range because historical weekly averages for Musk typically land there when no major external campaign or controversy spikes activity. Recent Grok Build enhancements and related memes have added incremental posts without pushing totals into outlier territory, while the absence of any single breaking news cycle has kept momentum balanced. Upcoming chart updates or any sudden policy announcements could still shift volume in either direction before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,201,297
Data de Término
22 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "180-199" at 20%, followed by "200-219" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?" has generated $4.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?" is "180-199" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "200-219" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.