Traders are assessing Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X amid an ongoing May, where the 880-919 tweet range holds a slim 12.9% edge in implied probability. His daily output, driven by business commentary, platform engagement, and rapid responses to news, aligns with historical monthly totals that frequently cluster near 900, yet the narrow spread across the 800-959 bins highlights how unpredictable factors like product launches or regulatory updates can alter momentum. With roughly half the month elapsed, late-May activity tied to Tesla earnings or xAI developments remains the clearest swing factor that could push the final tally into adjacent ranges or sustain the current frontrunner.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado880-919 12.9%
840-879 11.4%
800-839 10.9%
920-959 10.9%
$3,142,490 Vol.
$3,142,490 Vol.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
4%
720-739
3%
740-759
6%
760-779
6%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
11%
880-919
13%
920-959
11%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
880-919 12.9%
840-879 11.4%
800-839 10.9%
920-959 10.9%
$3,142,490 Vol.
$3,142,490 Vol.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
4%
720-739
3%
740-759
6%
760-779
6%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
11%
880-919
13%
920-959
11%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are assessing Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X amid an ongoing May, where the 880-919 tweet range holds a slim 12.9% edge in implied probability. His daily output, driven by business commentary, platform engagement, and rapid responses to news, aligns with historical monthly totals that frequently cluster near 900, yet the narrow spread across the 800-959 bins highlights how unpredictable factors like product launches or regulatory updates can alter momentum. With roughly half the month elapsed, late-May activity tied to Tesla earnings or xAI developments remains the clearest swing factor that could push the final tally into adjacent ranges or sustain the current frontrunner.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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