Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal proceedings have shaped trader sentiment around his prison time, with the market heavily favoring no additional time at 79.1% implied probability. The most immediate catalyst is the mistrial declared on May 15, 2026, after a New York jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal on a third-degree rape charge involving Jessica Mann—the third such inconclusive outcome in that case. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide whether to pursue a fourth trial. Weinstein remains incarcerated at Rikers Island while appealing his separate 16-year California conviction and weighing potential plea options that could run concurrently. His advanced age, reported health concerns, and the pattern of hung juries have fueled market consensus that further significant prison time is unlikely in the near term, though unresolved charges introduce ongoing uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTempo de prisão de Harvey Weinstein?
Tempo de prisão de Harvey Weinstein?
Sem tempo de prisão 79.2%
20-30 anos 5.4%
<5 anos 5.1%
5-10 anos 3.9%
$992,065 Vol.
$992,065 Vol.
31 dez 2025
Sem tempo de prisão
79%
<5 anos
5%
5-10 anos
4%
10-20 anos
3%
20-30 anos
5%
Mais de 30 anos
2%
Sem tempo de prisão 79.2%
20-30 anos 5.4%
<5 anos 5.1%
5-10 anos 3.9%
$992,065 Vol.
$992,065 Vol.
31 dez 2025
Sem tempo de prisão
$349,079 Vol.
79%
<5 anos
$131,345 Vol.
5%
5-10 anos
$79,813 Vol.
4%
10-20 anos
$159,072 Vol.
3%
20-30 anos
$200,282 Vol.
5%
Mais de 30 anos
$72,473 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal proceedings have shaped trader sentiment around his prison time, with the market heavily favoring no additional time at 79.1% implied probability. The most immediate catalyst is the mistrial declared on May 15, 2026, after a New York jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal on a third-degree rape charge involving Jessica Mann—the third such inconclusive outcome in that case. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide whether to pursue a fourth trial. Weinstein remains incarcerated at Rikers Island while appealing his separate 16-year California conviction and weighing potential plea options that could run concurrently. His advanced age, reported health concerns, and the pattern of hung juries have fueled market consensus that further significant prison time is unlikely in the near term, though unresolved charges introduce ongoing uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$992,065Data de Término
31 dez 2025Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal proceedings have shaped trader sentiment around his prison time, with the market heavily favoring no additional time at 79.1% implied probability. The most immediate catalyst is the mistrial declared on May 15, 2026, after a New York jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal on a third-degree rape charge involving Jessica Mann—the third such inconclusive outcome in that case. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide whether to pursue a fourth trial. Weinstein remains incarcerated at Rikers Island while appealing his separate 16-year California conviction and weighing potential plea options that could run concurrently. His advanced age, reported health concerns, and the pattern of hung juries have fueled market consensus that further significant prison time is unlikely in the near term, though unresolved charges introduce ongoing uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$992,065Data de Término
31 dez 2025Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal proceedings have shaped trader sentiment around his prison time, with the market heavily favoring no additional time at 79.1% implied probability. The most immediate catalyst is the mistrial declared on May 15, 2026, after a New York jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal on a third-degree rape charge involving Jessica Mann—the third such inconclusive outcome in that case. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide whether to pursue a fourth trial. Weinstein remains incarcerated at Rikers Island while appealing his separate 16-year California conviction and weighing potential plea options that could run concurrently. His advanced age, reported health concerns, and the pattern of hung juries have fueled market consensus that further significant prison time is unlikely in the near term, though unresolved charges introduce ongoing uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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