**Stable high-pressure conditions and model consensus point to a mild 19°C peak as the most probable outcome for Amsterdam's highest temperature on September 21.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models, show a daytime high near 18–20°C (65–67°F) under mostly cloudy skies, with light northwest winds around 10 mph and surface pressure near 30.4–30.45 inHg. These conditions favor modest warming without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. The climatological average high for the date is approximately 18.5°C, providing context for the current slightly above-normal but unremarkable setup. Recent model runs exhibit low spread in the afternoon maximum, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant frontal passages expected. This scientific stability underpins the market-implied odds, where 19°C leads at 63.5% and 20°C follows at 24.5%, while lower or higher thresholds remain marginal. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range, high-resolution guidance 24 hours out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 21 de setembro?
19°C 64%
20°C 25%
18°C 12%
17°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
12%
19°C
64%
20°C
25%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 64%
20°C 25%
18°C 12%
17°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
13°C ou menos
$267 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$79 Vol.
1%
16°C
$462 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$475 Vol.
3%
18°C
$1,445 Vol.
12%
19°C
$2,101 Vol.
64%
20°C
$1,270 Vol.
25%
21°C
$662 Vol.
2%
22°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
23°C ou mais
$83 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and model consensus point to a mild 19°C peak as the most probable outcome for Amsterdam's highest temperature on September 21.**
Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models, show a daytime high near 18–20°C (65–67°F) under mostly cloudy skies, with light northwest winds around 10 mph and surface pressure near 30.4–30.45 inHg. These conditions favor modest warming without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. The climatological average high for the date is approximately 18.5°C, providing context for the current slightly above-normal but unremarkable setup.
Recent model runs exhibit low spread in the afternoon maximum, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant frontal passages expected. This scientific stability underpins the market-implied odds, where 19°C leads at 63.5% and 20°C follows at 24.5%, while lower or higher thresholds remain marginal. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range, high-resolution guidance 24 hours out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$7,149Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and model consensus point to a mild 19°C peak as the most probable outcome for Amsterdam's highest temperature on September 21.**
Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models, show a daytime high near 18–20°C (65–67°F) under mostly cloudy skies, with light northwest winds around 10 mph and surface pressure near 30.4–30.45 inHg. These conditions favor modest warming without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. The climatological average high for the date is approximately 18.5°C, providing context for the current slightly above-normal but unremarkable setup.
Recent model runs exhibit low spread in the afternoon maximum, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant frontal passages expected. This scientific stability underpins the market-implied odds, where 19°C leads at 63.5% and 20°C follows at 24.5%, while lower or higher thresholds remain marginal. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range, high-resolution guidance 24 hours out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,149Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and model consensus point to a mild 19°C peak as the most probable outcome for Amsterdam's highest temperature on September 21.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models, show a daytime high near 18–20°C (65–67°F) under mostly cloudy skies, with light northwest winds around 10 mph and surface pressure near 30.4–30.45 inHg. These conditions favor modest warming without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. The climatological average high for the date is approximately 18.5°C, providing context for the current slightly above-normal but unremarkable setup. Recent model runs exhibit low spread in the afternoon maximum, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant frontal passages expected. This scientific stability underpins the market-implied odds, where 19°C leads at 63.5% and 20°C follows at 24.5%, while lower or higher thresholds remain marginal. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range, high-resolution guidance 24 hours out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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