Official National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin on August 15, 2026, call for a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies with south-southwest flow and limited afternoon convection, supporting the market's leading 102-103°F bin at 63.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-normal August conditions have sustained hot, dry air masses across central Texas, with dew points in the mid-70s enabling efficient daytime heating while heat indices approach 107°F. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover or moisture to cap maxima near or slightly above 100°F, exceeding the seasonal average high of roughly 98°F yet remaining below record levels. Traders monitor the final Austin-Bergstrom observations for resolution, with any unexpected clearing or wind shift potentially pushing readings into the favored range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 15 de agosto?
102-103°F 98%
104-105°F 4%
108-109°F <1%
106-107°F <1%
$20,137 Vol.
$20,137 Vol.
15 ago 2026
91°F ou menos
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
98%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F ou mais
<1%
102-103°F 98%
104-105°F 4%
108-109°F <1%
106-107°F <1%
$20,137 Vol.
$20,137 Vol.
15 ago 2026
91°F ou menos
$193 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$295 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$752 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$2,499 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$3,387 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$5,851 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$3,840 Vol.
98%
104-105°F
$1,164 Vol.
4%
106-107°F
$845 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$777 Vol.
<1%
110°F ou mais
$534 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin on August 15, 2026, call for a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies with south-southwest flow and limited afternoon convection, supporting the market's leading 102-103°F bin at 63.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-normal August conditions have sustained hot, dry air masses across central Texas, with dew points in the mid-70s enabling efficient daytime heating while heat indices approach 107°F. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover or moisture to cap maxima near or slightly above 100°F, exceeding the seasonal average high of roughly 98°F yet remaining below record levels. Traders monitor the final Austin-Bergstrom observations for resolution, with any unexpected clearing or wind shift potentially pushing readings into the favored range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$20,137Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin on August 15, 2026, call for a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies with south-southwest flow and limited afternoon convection, supporting the market's leading 102-103°F bin at 63.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-normal August conditions have sustained hot, dry air masses across central Texas, with dew points in the mid-70s enabling efficient daytime heating while heat indices approach 107°F. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover or moisture to cap maxima near or slightly above 100°F, exceeding the seasonal average high of roughly 98°F yet remaining below record levels. Traders monitor the final Austin-Bergstrom observations for resolution, with any unexpected clearing or wind shift potentially pushing readings into the favored range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,137Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin on August 15, 2026, call for a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies with south-southwest flow and limited afternoon convection, supporting the market's leading 102-103°F bin at 63.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-normal August conditions have sustained hot, dry air masses across central Texas, with dew points in the mid-70s enabling efficient daytime heating while heat indices approach 107°F. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover or moisture to cap maxima near or slightly above 100°F, exceeding the seasonal average high of roughly 98°F yet remaining below record levels. Traders monitor the final Austin-Bergstrom observations for resolution, with any unexpected clearing or wind shift potentially pushing readings into the favored range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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