Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing’s June 13 maximum will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderating northeasterly flow that limits daytime insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with typical early-June climatology of 30–32 °C highs under clearer subtropical ridge influence. Market-implied odds—48.5 % for 27 °C or below and 26.5 % for exactly 28 °C—reflect trader weighting of the latest model consensus showing precipitation probabilities near 40–60 % during peak heating hours, which historically caps temperatures 2–4 °C below guidance. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined mesoscale runs will likely determine whether any late-day clearing allows readings to reach the lower-probability 30 °C tier.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 13?
27°C or below 49%
28°C 27%
29°C 16%
30°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
13 jun 2026
27°C or below
49%
28°C
27%
29°C
16%
30°C
6%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
27°C or below 49%
28°C 27%
29°C 16%
30°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
13 jun 2026
27°C or below
$166 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$8 Vol.
16%
30°C
$256 Vol.
6%
31°C
$285 Vol.
4%
32°C
$176 Vol.
2%
33°C
$150 Vol.
1%
34°C
$207 Vol.
1%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing’s June 13 maximum will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderating northeasterly flow that limits daytime insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with typical early-June climatology of 30–32 °C highs under clearer subtropical ridge influence. Market-implied odds—48.5 % for 27 °C or below and 26.5 % for exactly 28 °C—reflect trader weighting of the latest model consensus showing precipitation probabilities near 40–60 % during peak heating hours, which historically caps temperatures 2–4 °C below guidance. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined mesoscale runs will likely determine whether any late-day clearing allows readings to reach the lower-probability 30 °C tier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,188Data de Término
13 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing’s June 13 maximum will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderating northeasterly flow that limits daytime insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with typical early-June climatology of 30–32 °C highs under clearer subtropical ridge influence. Market-implied odds—48.5 % for 27 °C or below and 26.5 % for exactly 28 °C—reflect trader weighting of the latest model consensus showing precipitation probabilities near 40–60 % during peak heating hours, which historically caps temperatures 2–4 °C below guidance. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined mesoscale runs will likely determine whether any late-day clearing allows readings to reach the lower-probability 30 °C tier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,188Data de Término
13 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing’s June 13 maximum will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderating northeasterly flow that limits daytime insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with typical early-June climatology of 30–32 °C highs under clearer subtropical ridge influence. Market-implied odds—48.5 % for 27 °C or below and 26.5 % for exactly 28 °C—reflect trader weighting of the latest model consensus showing precipitation probabilities near 40–60 % during peak heating hours, which historically caps temperatures 2–4 °C below guidance. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined mesoscale runs will likely determine whether any late-day clearing allows readings to reach the lower-probability 30 °C tier.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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