Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim em 12 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim em 12 de junho?
32°C 100.0%
29°C ou menos <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$141,070 Vol.
$141,070 Vol.
12 jun 2026
29°C ou menos
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Sim
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C
Não
39°C ou mais
Não
32°C 100.0%
29°C ou menos <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$141,070 Vol.
$141,070 Vol.
12 jun 2026
29°C ou menos
$18,519 Vol.
Não
30°C
$23,637 Vol.
Não
31°C
$24,973 Vol.
Não
32°C
$18,725 Vol.
Sim
33°C
$16,907 Vol.
Não
34°C
$14,037 Vol.
Não
35°C
$7,654 Vol.
Não
36°C
$9,243 Vol.
Não
37°C
$2,474 Vol.
Não
38°C
$3,311 Vol.
Não
39°C ou mais
$1,591 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$141,070Data de Término
12 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$141,070Data de Término
12 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions