Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and regional models, project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chongqing on August 12 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-August. This aligns with historical climatological averages for the city’s hottest month, where highs frequently reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. Trader consensus has consolidated at this level because current observational data and short-range model runs show limited variability, with steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected to hold temperatures steady. While the implied probability exceeds 90%, realistic shifts could arise from late-day thunderstorm development or revised local station measurements deviating by 1–2°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 12 de agosto?
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$71,556 Vol.
$71,556 Vol.
12 ago 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$71,556 Vol.
$71,556 Vol.
12 ago 2026
31°C or below
$3,056 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,335 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,243 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,826 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,864 Vol.
No
36°C
$11,901 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$10,277 Vol.
No
38°C
$9,076 Vol.
No
39°C
$6,547 Vol.
No
40°C
$2,051 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$5,379 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and regional models, project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chongqing on August 12 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-August. This aligns with historical climatological averages for the city’s hottest month, where highs frequently reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. Trader consensus has consolidated at this level because current observational data and short-range model runs show limited variability, with steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected to hold temperatures steady. While the implied probability exceeds 90%, realistic shifts could arise from late-day thunderstorm development or revised local station measurements deviating by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$71,556Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and regional models, project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chongqing on August 12 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-August. This aligns with historical climatological averages for the city’s hottest month, where highs frequently reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. Trader consensus has consolidated at this level because current observational data and short-range model runs show limited variability, with steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected to hold temperatures steady. While the implied probability exceeds 90%, realistic shifts could arise from late-day thunderstorm development or revised local station measurements deviating by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71,556Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and regional models, project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chongqing on August 12 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-August. This aligns with historical climatological averages for the city’s hottest month, where highs frequently reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. Trader consensus has consolidated at this level because current observational data and short-range model runs show limited variability, with steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected to hold temperatures steady. While the implied probability exceeds 90%, realistic shifts could arise from late-day thunderstorm development or revised local station measurements deviating by 1–2°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions