The market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–32°C because ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 6, with peak daytime heating expected in the upper 20s to low 30s under high pressure and light winds. Model differences arise from variations in predicted insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle steering by northerly flows that can either enhance or suppress the afternoon maximum. Official guidance shows limited spread in these variables, though small revisions to cloud cover or wind speed in the final 48 hours could shift the realized high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus against September climatology near 26–28°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 6 de setembro?
27°C 37%
29°C 37%
31°C 36%
32°C 36%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
25°C ou menos
11%
26°C
7%
27°C
37%
28°C
19%
29°C
37%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
36%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C ou mais
10%
27°C 37%
29°C 37%
31°C 36%
32°C 36%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
11%
26°C
$20 Vol.
7%
27°C
$5 Vol.
37%
28°C
$5 Vol.
19%
29°C
$0 Vol.
37%
30°C
$70 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
36%
32°C
$0 Vol.
36%
33°C
$0 Vol.
5%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–32°C because ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 6, with peak daytime heating expected in the upper 20s to low 30s under high pressure and light winds. Model differences arise from variations in predicted insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle steering by northerly flows that can either enhance or suppress the afternoon maximum. Official guidance shows limited spread in these variables, though small revisions to cloud cover or wind speed in the final 48 hours could shift the realized high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus against September climatology near 26–28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$100Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–32°C because ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 6, with peak daytime heating expected in the upper 20s to low 30s under high pressure and light winds. Model differences arise from variations in predicted insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle steering by northerly flows that can either enhance or suppress the afternoon maximum. Official guidance shows limited spread in these variables, though small revisions to cloud cover or wind speed in the final 48 hours could shift the realized high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus against September climatology near 26–28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$100Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–32°C because ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 6, with peak daytime heating expected in the upper 20s to low 30s under high pressure and light winds. Model differences arise from variations in predicted insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle steering by northerly flows that can either enhance or suppress the afternoon maximum. Official guidance shows limited spread in these variables, though small revisions to cloud cover or wind speed in the final 48 hours could shift the realized high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus against September climatology near 26–28°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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