Trader consensus positions 30°C as the leading outcome for Manila’s September 6 high, driven by the latest regional model consensus showing typical late-summer monsoon conditions with afternoon maxima near the 30–31°C seasonal norm. Persistent southwest monsoon flow and expected cloud cover plus scattered showers are suppressing peak heating, while current guidance from PAGASA and global ensembles shows low likelihood of strong tropical systems altering the pattern in the next 48 hours. Historical September data indicate 30°C falls within the most frequent range under neutral ENSO conditions. Fresh model runs and satellite observations over the coming days will likely tighten these market-implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 6 de setembro?
30°C 36%
31°C 23%
29°C 19%
28°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
23°C ou menos
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28°C
11%
29°C
19%
30°C
36%
31°C
22%
32°C
6%
33°C ou mais
8%
30°C 36%
31°C 23%
29°C 19%
28°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$50 Vol.
5%
27°C
$2 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$5 Vol.
36%
31°C
$20 Vol.
22%
32°C
$0 Vol.
6%
33°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 30°C as the leading outcome for Manila’s September 6 high, driven by the latest regional model consensus showing typical late-summer monsoon conditions with afternoon maxima near the 30–31°C seasonal norm. Persistent southwest monsoon flow and expected cloud cover plus scattered showers are suppressing peak heating, while current guidance from PAGASA and global ensembles shows low likelihood of strong tropical systems altering the pattern in the next 48 hours. Historical September data indicate 30°C falls within the most frequent range under neutral ENSO conditions. Fresh model runs and satellite observations over the coming days will likely tighten these market-implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$77Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 30°C as the leading outcome for Manila’s September 6 high, driven by the latest regional model consensus showing typical late-summer monsoon conditions with afternoon maxima near the 30–31°C seasonal norm. Persistent southwest monsoon flow and expected cloud cover plus scattered showers are suppressing peak heating, while current guidance from PAGASA and global ensembles shows low likelihood of strong tropical systems altering the pattern in the next 48 hours. Historical September data indicate 30°C falls within the most frequent range under neutral ENSO conditions. Fresh model runs and satellite observations over the coming days will likely tighten these market-implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions 30°C as the leading outcome for Manila’s September 6 high, driven by the latest regional model consensus showing typical late-summer monsoon conditions with afternoon maxima near the 30–31°C seasonal norm. Persistent southwest monsoon flow and expected cloud cover plus scattered showers are suppressing peak heating, while current guidance from PAGASA and global ensembles shows low likelihood of strong tropical systems altering the pattern in the next 48 hours. Historical September data indicate 30°C falls within the most frequent range under neutral ENSO conditions. Fresh model runs and satellite observations over the coming days will likely tighten these market-implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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