Active southwest monsoon conditions, including an active monsoon trough across Uttar Pradesh and expected overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities highest for a 30–31°C maximum in Lucknow on August 26. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models anticipate cloud cover and precipitation limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent below-normal readings such as 30.4°C on August 25. High humidity and light easterly winds further suppress peak values relative to clearer monsoon breaks. Forecast uncertainty between 30°C and 32°C accounts for the tight market split, with traders weighting the balance of model runs showing isolated heavy rain versus partial clearing. Updated IMD observations and station data will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 26 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 26 de agosto?
31°C 40%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
29°C 11.4%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
32%
31°C
40%
32°C
17%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
29°C 11.4%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
26°C or below
$178 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$588 Vol.
4%
29°C
$629 Vol.
12%
30°C
$667 Vol.
32%
31°C
$526 Vol.
40%
32°C
$899 Vol.
17%
33°C
$1,014 Vol.
4%
34°C
$604 Vol.
2%
35°C
$318 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including an active monsoon trough across Uttar Pradesh and expected overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities highest for a 30–31°C maximum in Lucknow on August 26. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models anticipate cloud cover and precipitation limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent below-normal readings such as 30.4°C on August 25. High humidity and light easterly winds further suppress peak values relative to clearer monsoon breaks. Forecast uncertainty between 30°C and 32°C accounts for the tight market split, with traders weighting the balance of model runs showing isolated heavy rain versus partial clearing. Updated IMD observations and station data will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,768Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including an active monsoon trough across Uttar Pradesh and expected overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities highest for a 30–31°C maximum in Lucknow on August 26. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models anticipate cloud cover and precipitation limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent below-normal readings such as 30.4°C on August 25. High humidity and light easterly winds further suppress peak values relative to clearer monsoon breaks. Forecast uncertainty between 30°C and 32°C accounts for the tight market split, with traders weighting the balance of model runs showing isolated heavy rain versus partial clearing. Updated IMD observations and station data will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,768Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions, including an active monsoon trough across Uttar Pradesh and expected overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities highest for a 30–31°C maximum in Lucknow on August 26. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models anticipate cloud cover and precipitation limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent below-normal readings such as 30.4°C on August 25. High humidity and light easterly winds further suppress peak values relative to clearer monsoon breaks. Forecast uncertainty between 30°C and 32°C accounts for the tight market split, with traders weighting the balance of model runs showing isolated heavy rain versus partial clearing. Updated IMD observations and station data will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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