Current forecast models from the India Meteorological Department point to a minimum temperature in Lucknow near 26–27°C on August 26, driven by persistent monsoon cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rainfall that limit nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with historical August baselines of 25–28°C lows, where active monsoon phases typically suppress daytime maxima while keeping overnight readings elevated compared to drier periods. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread from steering patterns and localized convection, creating tight market clustering around 25–27°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest model runs and IMD updates against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow slightly lower readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Lucknow em 26 de agosto?
27°C 34%
26°C 34%
25°C 27%
29°C 26%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
25%
29°C
26%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 34%
26°C 34%
25°C 27%
29°C 26%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
25%
29°C
26%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the India Meteorological Department point to a minimum temperature in Lucknow near 26–27°C on August 26, driven by persistent monsoon cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rainfall that limit nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with historical August baselines of 25–28°C lows, where active monsoon phases typically suppress daytime maxima while keeping overnight readings elevated compared to drier periods. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread from steering patterns and localized convection, creating tight market clustering around 25–27°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest model runs and IMD updates against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow slightly lower readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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