Forecast models from sources including the BBC and extended outlooks indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum of 34–35°C on June 13 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of early summer. These conditions favor strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, pushing surface temperatures near seasonal norms around 32°C but elevated by recent warming trends. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates the tight market split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes, while historical June maxima near 30°C underscore the current ridge's influence. Updated short-range guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
34°C 41%
35°C 37%
36°C 14%
33°C 10%
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
10%
34°C
41%
35°C
37%
36°C
14%
37°C or higher
3%
34°C 41%
35°C 37%
36°C 14%
33°C 10%
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
10%
34°C
41%
35°C
37%
36°C
14%
37°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the BBC and extended outlooks indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum of 34–35°C on June 13 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of early summer. These conditions favor strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, pushing surface temperatures near seasonal norms around 32°C but elevated by recent warming trends. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates the tight market split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes, while historical June maxima near 30°C underscore the current ridge's influence. Updated short-range guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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