Madrid's peak temperature on June 11 is expected to reach exactly 32°C based on the latest official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF ensemble runs, which converged on this value amid stable high-pressure conditions and light winds typical for early summer in central Spain. Observational data through midday aligned closely with model guidance showing daytime highs climbing to this threshold without exceeding it, consistent with climatological norms for the period where June averages hover near 28–30°C but recent patterns have trended slightly warmer. The near-certain market consensus reflects this strong model agreement and real-time station readings, though minor uncertainty remains around exact peak timing or localized variations that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C if final observations differ from projections.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 11 de junho?
32°C 100.0%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$107,122 Vol.
$107,122 Vol.
28°C ou menos
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Sim
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C ou mais
Não
32°C 100.0%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$107,122 Vol.
$107,122 Vol.
28°C ou menos
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Sim
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Madrid's peak temperature on June 11 is expected to reach exactly 32°C based on the latest official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF ensemble runs, which converged on this value amid stable high-pressure conditions and light winds typical for early summer in central Spain. Observational data through midday aligned closely with model guidance showing daytime highs climbing to this threshold without exceeding it, consistent with climatological norms for the period where June averages hover near 28–30°C but recent patterns have trended slightly warmer. The near-certain market consensus reflects this strong model agreement and real-time station readings, though minor uncertainty remains around exact peak timing or localized variations that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C if final observations differ from projections.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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