Official meteorological observations from Munich's primary weather stations, including those operated under German national monitoring networks, recorded a peak temperature of 31°C on August 13. This aligns with regional forecast model outputs and surface analyses showing stable high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating to this level. With resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings, the 100% market-implied probability for 31°C reflects the absence of any plausible revision from official data. Scenarios that could alter this outcome remain narrow, such as an undetected sensor malfunction or post-event data quality review, though historical precedents indicate such adjustments occur infrequently once initial reports are published.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 13 de agosto?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$61,221 Vol.
$61,221 Vol.
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$61,221 Vol.
$61,221 Vol.
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
$278 Vol.
No
25°C
$263 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,117 Vol.
No
27°C
$840 Vol.
No
28°C
$901 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,785 Vol.
No
30°C
$17,679 Vol.
No
31°C
$15,488 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$11,891 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,734 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$1,246 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Munich's primary weather stations, including those operated under German national monitoring networks, recorded a peak temperature of 31°C on August 13. This aligns with regional forecast model outputs and surface analyses showing stable high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating to this level. With resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings, the 100% market-implied probability for 31°C reflects the absence of any plausible revision from official data. Scenarios that could alter this outcome remain narrow, such as an undetected sensor malfunction or post-event data quality review, though historical precedents indicate such adjustments occur infrequently once initial reports are published.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$61,221Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Munich's primary weather stations, including those operated under German national monitoring networks, recorded a peak temperature of 31°C on August 13. This aligns with regional forecast model outputs and surface analyses showing stable high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating to this level. With resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings, the 100% market-implied probability for 31°C reflects the absence of any plausible revision from official data. Scenarios that could alter this outcome remain narrow, such as an undetected sensor malfunction or post-event data quality review, though historical precedents indicate such adjustments occur infrequently once initial reports are published.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,221Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
Official meteorological observations from Munich's primary weather stations, including those operated under German national monitoring networks, recorded a peak temperature of 31°C on August 13. This aligns with regional forecast model outputs and surface analyses showing stable high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating to this level. With resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings, the 100% market-implied probability for 31°C reflects the absence of any plausible revision from official data. Scenarios that could alter this outcome remain narrow, such as an undetected sensor malfunction or post-event data quality review, though historical precedents indicate such adjustments occur infrequently once initial reports are published.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions