**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers converge on a high temperature of 85–89°F for New York City on August 13, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top two outcomes (86–87°F at 45.5% and 88–89°F at 32.5%).** A warmer-than-average monthly outlook from the Climate Prediction Center supports the upper half of August’s climatological normal (around 83°F), while steering patterns and possible afternoon sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity introduce modest cooling risk that keeps extremes above 90°F at low probability. Recent model runs show consistent guidance with only minor spread in timing of any showers, giving traders high confidence in the 86–89°F window while acknowledging that faster storm development or stronger onshore flow could shift the realized high downward.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 13 de agosto?
86-87°F 46%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 17%
90-91°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
46%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 46%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 17%
90-91°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
75°F or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$251 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$87 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$115 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$387 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$889 Vol.
17%
86-87°F
$989 Vol.
46%
88-89°F
$492 Vol.
31%
90-91°F
$598 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$895 Vol.
2%
94°F or higher
$713 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers converge on a high temperature of 85–89°F for New York City on August 13, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top two outcomes (86–87°F at 45.5% and 88–89°F at 32.5%).** A warmer-than-average monthly outlook from the Climate Prediction Center supports the upper half of August’s climatological normal (around 83°F), while steering patterns and possible afternoon sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity introduce modest cooling risk that keeps extremes above 90°F at low probability. Recent model runs show consistent guidance with only minor spread in timing of any showers, giving traders high confidence in the 86–89°F window while acknowledging that faster storm development or stronger onshore flow could shift the realized high downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,613Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers converge on a high temperature of 85–89°F for New York City on August 13, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top two outcomes (86–87°F at 45.5% and 88–89°F at 32.5%).** A warmer-than-average monthly outlook from the Climate Prediction Center supports the upper half of August’s climatological normal (around 83°F), while steering patterns and possible afternoon sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity introduce modest cooling risk that keeps extremes above 90°F at low probability. Recent model runs show consistent guidance with only minor spread in timing of any showers, giving traders high confidence in the 86–89°F window while acknowledging that faster storm development or stronger onshore flow could shift the realized high downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,613Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers converge on a high temperature of 85–89°F for New York City on August 13, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top two outcomes (86–87°F at 45.5% and 88–89°F at 32.5%).** A warmer-than-average monthly outlook from the Climate Prediction Center supports the upper half of August’s climatological normal (around 83°F), while steering patterns and possible afternoon sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity introduce modest cooling risk that keeps extremes above 90°F at low probability. Recent model runs show consistent guidance with only minor spread in timing of any showers, giving traders high confidence in the 86–89°F window while acknowledging that faster storm development or stronger onshore flow could shift the realized high downward.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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