Latest regional model consensus points to a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil suppressing convection and limiting peak solar insolation on August 12, anchoring trader probabilities tightly around 24–25°C. These conditions produce modest daytime warming typical of Sao Paulo’s August climatology, where average highs reach 23–25°C under similar ridge patterns, while variable low-level moisture or brief cloud increases could trim the maximum by 1°C. With leading outcomes separated by just 7.5 percentage points, markets reflect genuine uncertainty in exact attainment of the daily peak amid minor steering-flow or boundary-layer variations. Official observations from Congonhas and updated short-range guidance will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 12 de agosto?
24°C 44%
25°C 32%
26°C 17%
23°C 7%
NOVO
$23,892 Vol.
NOVO
$23,892 Vol.
12 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
44%
25°C
32%
26°C
17%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
25°C 32%
26°C 17%
23°C 7%
NOVO
$23,892 Vol.
NOVO
$23,892 Vol.
12 ago 2026
19°C or below
$320 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$830 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,626 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,411 Vol.
5%
23°C
$5,956 Vol.
7%
24°C
$4,570 Vol.
44%
25°C
$2,037 Vol.
32%
26°C
$1,643 Vol.
17%
27°C
$797 Vol.
2%
28°C
$521 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$3,181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest regional model consensus points to a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil suppressing convection and limiting peak solar insolation on August 12, anchoring trader probabilities tightly around 24–25°C. These conditions produce modest daytime warming typical of Sao Paulo’s August climatology, where average highs reach 23–25°C under similar ridge patterns, while variable low-level moisture or brief cloud increases could trim the maximum by 1°C. With leading outcomes separated by just 7.5 percentage points, markets reflect genuine uncertainty in exact attainment of the daily peak amid minor steering-flow or boundary-layer variations. Official observations from Congonhas and updated short-range guidance will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$23,892Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest regional model consensus points to a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil suppressing convection and limiting peak solar insolation on August 12, anchoring trader probabilities tightly around 24–25°C. These conditions produce modest daytime warming typical of Sao Paulo’s August climatology, where average highs reach 23–25°C under similar ridge patterns, while variable low-level moisture or brief cloud increases could trim the maximum by 1°C. With leading outcomes separated by just 7.5 percentage points, markets reflect genuine uncertainty in exact attainment of the daily peak amid minor steering-flow or boundary-layer variations. Official observations from Congonhas and updated short-range guidance will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,892Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest regional model consensus points to a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil suppressing convection and limiting peak solar insolation on August 12, anchoring trader probabilities tightly around 24–25°C. These conditions produce modest daytime warming typical of Sao Paulo’s August climatology, where average highs reach 23–25°C under similar ridge patterns, while variable low-level moisture or brief cloud increases could trim the maximum by 1°C. With leading outcomes separated by just 7.5 percentage points, markets reflect genuine uncertainty in exact attainment of the daily peak amid minor steering-flow or boundary-layer variations. Official observations from Congonhas and updated short-range guidance will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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