Current meteorological guidance for Warsaw centers on a high of 24°C as the most probable maximum for August 13, reflected in the market's 50.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate indicate sunny intervals with light northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating, consistent with seasonal averages near 23–25°C and no strong warm-air advection or high-pressure subsidence expected. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with only low-probability upside scenarios for 26°C or above under altered steering patterns. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, as resolution will rely on the official reading from Warsaw Chopin Airport, and no major shifts have appeared in the latest updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 13 de agosto?
24°C 51%
23°C 34%
25°C 9%
22°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
34%
24°C
51%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 34%
25°C 9%
22°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
$146 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$514 Vol.
1%
22°C
$806 Vol.
8%
23°C
$877 Vol.
34%
24°C
$2,156 Vol.
51%
25°C
$879 Vol.
9%
26°C
$562 Vol.
2%
27°C
$38 Vol.
2%
28°C
$295 Vol.
1%
29°C
$696 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou mais
$210 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological guidance for Warsaw centers on a high of 24°C as the most probable maximum for August 13, reflected in the market's 50.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate indicate sunny intervals with light northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating, consistent with seasonal averages near 23–25°C and no strong warm-air advection or high-pressure subsidence expected. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with only low-probability upside scenarios for 26°C or above under altered steering patterns. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, as resolution will rely on the official reading from Warsaw Chopin Airport, and no major shifts have appeared in the latest updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,179Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological guidance for Warsaw centers on a high of 24°C as the most probable maximum for August 13, reflected in the market's 50.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate indicate sunny intervals with light northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating, consistent with seasonal averages near 23–25°C and no strong warm-air advection or high-pressure subsidence expected. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with only low-probability upside scenarios for 26°C or above under altered steering patterns. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, as resolution will rely on the official reading from Warsaw Chopin Airport, and no major shifts have appeared in the latest updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,179Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological guidance for Warsaw centers on a high of 24°C as the most probable maximum for August 13, reflected in the market's 50.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate indicate sunny intervals with light northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating, consistent with seasonal averages near 23–25°C and no strong warm-air advection or high-pressure subsidence expected. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with only low-probability upside scenarios for 26°C or above under altered steering patterns. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, as resolution will rely on the official reading from Warsaw Chopin Airport, and no major shifts have appeared in the latest updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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