Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible late in the day, positioning the 32°C-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader at 70% implied probability. Midsummer solar insolation combined with typical seasonal averages of 31–33°C supports this range, while variable cloud cover and any stronger convective activity introduce modest uncertainty that keeps the 31°C bucket at 22%. Traders are weighing official guidance against potential short-term model shifts in steering patterns or humidity, with lower thresholds below 28°C priced near zero due to established climatological baselines and current observational trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 16 de agosto?
32°C ou mais 51%
31°C 21%
30°C 21%
29°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
19%
30°C
21%
31°C
21%
32°C ou mais
51%
32°C ou mais 51%
31°C 21%
30°C 21%
29°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$85 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$14 Vol.
19%
30°C
$3 Vol.
21%
31°C
$6 Vol.
21%
32°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible late in the day, positioning the 32°C-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader at 70% implied probability. Midsummer solar insolation combined with typical seasonal averages of 31–33°C supports this range, while variable cloud cover and any stronger convective activity introduce modest uncertainty that keeps the 31°C bucket at 22%. Traders are weighing official guidance against potential short-term model shifts in steering patterns or humidity, with lower thresholds below 28°C priced near zero due to established climatological baselines and current observational trends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$653Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible late in the day, positioning the 32°C-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader at 70% implied probability. Midsummer solar insolation combined with typical seasonal averages of 31–33°C supports this range, while variable cloud cover and any stronger convective activity introduce modest uncertainty that keeps the 31°C bucket at 22%. Traders are weighing official guidance against potential short-term model shifts in steering patterns or humidity, with lower thresholds below 28°C priced near zero due to established climatological baselines and current observational trends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$653Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible late in the day, positioning the 32°C-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader at 70% implied probability. Midsummer solar insolation combined with typical seasonal averages of 31–33°C supports this range, while variable cloud cover and any stronger convective activity introduce modest uncertainty that keeps the 31°C bucket at 22%. Traders are weighing official guidance against potential short-term model shifts in steering patterns or humidity, with lower thresholds below 28°C priced near zero due to established climatological baselines and current observational trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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