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IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Christina Bohannan 93.8%

Travis Terrell 4.0%

Taylor Wettach 1.9%

Polymarket

$20,159 Vol.

Christina Bohannan 93.8%

Travis Terrell 4.0%

Taylor Wettach 1.9%

Polymarket

$20,159 Vol.

Christina Bohannan

$14,317 Vol.

94%

Travis Terrell

$2,583 Vol.

4%

Taylor Wettach

$3,258 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan's commanding 94% trader consensus in the IA-01 Democratic primary stems from her status as the 2024 nominee who nearly flipped the Republican-held seat by 799 votes, bolstered by massive fundraising—$5.1 million raised and $4 million cash on hand through March—versus challenger Travis Terrell's $19,000. The DCCC's February "Red to Blue" endorsement and Taylor Wettach's January withdrawal to run for state auditor have consolidated establishment support ahead of the June 2 closed primary. Terrell's progressive pitch on Medicare for All and labor rights draws a left-wing push amid health care debates, but his resource gap limits viability. An upset would require a Bohannan scandal, gaffe, or anomalous progressive turnout surge in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,159
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan's commanding 94% trader consensus in the IA-01 Democratic primary stems from her status as the 2024 nominee who nearly flipped the Republican-held seat by 799 votes, bolstered by massive fundraising—$5.1 million raised and $4 million cash on hand through March—versus challenger Travis Terrell's $19,000. The DCCC's February "Red to Blue" endorsement and Taylor Wettach's January withdrawal to run for state auditor have consolidated establishment support ahead of the June 2 closed primary. Terrell's progressive pitch on Medicare for All and labor rights draws a left-wing push amid health care debates, but his resource gap limits viability. An upset would require a Bohannan scandal, gaffe, or anomalous progressive turnout surge in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,159
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Christina Bohannan" at 94%, followed by "Travis Terrell" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $20.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Christina Bohannan" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Travis Terrell" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.