Skip to main content
icon for PA-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

PA-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for PA-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

PA-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Bob Brooks 86%

Lamont McClure 6.8%

Ryan Crosswell 6.7%

Carol Obando-Derstine 5.1%

Polymarket

$26,110 Vol.

Bob Brooks 86%

Lamont McClure 6.8%

Ryan Crosswell 6.7%

Carol Obando-Derstine 5.1%

Polymarket

$26,110 Vol.

Bob Brooks

$4,362 Vol.

86%

Lamont McClure

$5,973 Vol.

7%

Ryan Crosswell

$4,714 Vol.

7%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$5,649 Vol.

5%

Lewis Shupe

$3,265 Vol.

<1%

Aiden Gonzalez

$2,147 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices Bob Brooks as an 85.5% favorite to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, reflecting his consolidation of support through key endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee this week, alongside polling leads in recent surveys like Stronger Together's April tracker. As president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, Brooks' working-class appeal resonates in the Lehigh Valley battleground, bolstered by union and progressive backing from groups like Working Families Party. Rivals Ryan Crosswell (7%), former prosecutor and Marine, Lamont McClure (6.7%), Northampton County executive running on his record, and Carol Obando-Derstine (4.9%) remain fragmented despite debates and attacks on Brooks over his recent comments about Shapiro's 2024 treasurer race involvement, with early voting now underway.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$26,110
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices Bob Brooks as an 85.5% favorite to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, reflecting his consolidation of support through key endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee this week, alongside polling leads in recent surveys like Stronger Together's April tracker. As president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, Brooks' working-class appeal resonates in the Lehigh Valley battleground, bolstered by union and progressive backing from groups like Working Families Party. Rivals Ryan Crosswell (7%), former prosecutor and Marine, Lamont McClure (6.7%), Northampton County executive running on his record, and Carol Obando-Derstine (4.9%) remain fragmented despite debates and attacks on Brooks over his recent comments about Shapiro's 2024 treasurer race involvement, with early voting now underway.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$26,110
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"PA-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bob Brooks" at 86%, followed by "Lamont McClure" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PA-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $26.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PA-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Bob Brooks" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lamont McClure" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.