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Política·Primárias

PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
Política·Primárias

PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Chris Rabb 57.5%

Sharif Street 37%

Ala Stanford 4.9%

Gabriel Caceres <1%

Polymarket

$46,265 Vol.

Chris Rabb 57.5%

Sharif Street 37%

Ala Stanford 4.9%

Gabriel Caceres <1%

Polymarket

$46,265 Vol.

Chris Rabb

$10,027 Vol.

57%

Sharif Street

$11,290 Vol.

37%

Ala Stanford

$5,837 Vol.

5%

Gabriel Caceres

$5,165 Vol.

<1%

David Oxman

$6,175 Vol.

<1%

Morgan Cephas

$3,073 Vol.

<1%

Robin Toldens

$4,699 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus on Polymarket gives state Rep. Chris Rabb a 57% implied probability of winning the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans, ahead of state Sen. Sharif Street at 38%, with physician Ala Stanford at 5%. Rabb's edge reflects progressive momentum from endorsements by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic Socialists of America, Justice Democrats, and the Philadelphia Inquirer editorial board, energizing grassroots turnout in this heavily Democratic Philadelphia district. Street counters with dominant labor support, including Philadelphia Building Trades, Teamsters, and firefighters unions, plus Mayor Cherelle Parker and former Gov. Ed Rendell. Recent Axios reporting on Gov. Josh Shapiro urging trades not to attack Stanford underscores establishment efforts to block Rabb, but no public polls have emerged in the final week amid a narrowed field of six candidates.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$46,265
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus on Polymarket gives state Rep. Chris Rabb a 57% implied probability of winning the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans, ahead of state Sen. Sharif Street at 38%, with physician Ala Stanford at 5%. Rabb's edge reflects progressive momentum from endorsements by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic Socialists of America, Justice Democrats, and the Philadelphia Inquirer editorial board, energizing grassroots turnout in this heavily Democratic Philadelphia district. Street counters with dominant labor support, including Philadelphia Building Trades, Teamsters, and firefighters unions, plus Mayor Cherelle Parker and former Gov. Ed Rendell. Recent Axios reporting on Gov. Josh Shapiro urging trades not to attack Stanford underscores establishment efforts to block Rabb, but no public polls have emerged in the final week amid a narrowed field of six candidates.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$46,265
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chris Rabb" at 57%, followed by "Sharif Street" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $46.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Chris Rabb" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sharif Street" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.