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icon for Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Peru: 2º lugar
Política·Peru

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Peru: 2º lugar

icon for Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Peru: 2º lugar
Política·Peru

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Peru: 2º lugar

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 100.0%

Mario Vizcarra <1%

Alfonso López Chau <1%

José Luna <1%

Polymarket

$6,326,209 Vol.

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 100.0%

Mario Vizcarra <1%

Alfonso López Chau <1%

José Luna <1%

Polymarket

$6,326,209 Vol.

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$31,205 Vol.

Não

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$101,197 Vol.

Não

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$23,027 Vol.

Não

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$20,433 Vol.

Não

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$26,528 Vol.

Não

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$18,794 Vol.

Não

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$22,801 Vol.

Não

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$2,015,432 Vol.

Não

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$22,370 Vol.

Não

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$21,387 Vol.

Não

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$440,321 Vol.

Não

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$22,997 Vol.

Não

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$22,855 Vol.

Não

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$216,721 Vol.

Não

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$2,665,572 Vol.

Sim

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$415,866 Vol.

Não

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$95,203 Vol.

Não

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$22,326 Vol.

Não

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$21,944 Vol.

Não

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$22,599 Vol.

Não

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$31,742 Vol.

Não

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$22,638 Vol.

Não

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$22,250 Vol.

Não

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)The official certification of Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential results has locked in trader consensus that Roberto Sánchez Palomino secured second place behind Keiko Fujimori. A month-long tabulation process, marked by incremental regional counts and final ONPE verification, showed Sánchez finishing at roughly 12 percent—narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga—after consolidating support from left-leaning voters tied to former President Pedro Castillo’s network. The highly fragmented field of more than 30 candidates prevented any contender from approaching a majority, funneling decisive margins toward the top two. While isolated fraud allegations surfaced during the count, none altered the established order, leaving minimal room for shifts absent an unforeseen reversal in the final certification.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$6,326,209
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)The official certification of Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential results has locked in trader consensus that Roberto Sánchez Palomino secured second place behind Keiko Fujimori. A month-long tabulation process, marked by incremental regional counts and final ONPE verification, showed Sánchez finishing at roughly 12 percent—narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga—after consolidating support from left-leaning voters tied to former President Pedro Castillo’s network. The highly fragmented field of more than 30 candidates prevented any contender from approaching a majority, funneling decisive margins toward the top two. While isolated fraud allegations surfaced during the count, none altered the established order, leaving minimal room for shifts absent an unforeseen reversal in the final certification.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$6,326,209
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Peru: 2º lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 100%, followed by "Mario Vizcarra" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Peru: 2º lugar" has generated $6.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Peru: 2º lugar," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Peru: 2º lugar" is "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mario Vizcarra" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Peru: 2º lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.