Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-60s °F for Chicago on September 6, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure following a cooler air mass intrusion. This setup supports trader emphasis on the 61°F-or-below outcome at 34.5% implied probability, while nearby bins near 64–71°F cluster around 24–27% amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of several degrees. Historical September 6 averages near 63°F provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 60°F limit further cooling potential. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of overnight lows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chicago em 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chicago em 6 de setembro?
16°C (61°F) ou menos 69%
80°F ou mais 59%
62-63°F 49%
74-75°F 49%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
16°C (61°F) ou menos
69%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
27%
21-21,6°C (70-71°F)
28%
72-73°F
48%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
20%
80°F ou mais
59%
16°C (61°F) ou menos 69%
80°F ou mais 59%
62-63°F 49%
74-75°F 49%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
16°C (61°F) ou menos
$0 Vol.
69%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
49%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
26%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
26%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
27%
21-21,6°C (70-71°F)
$0 Vol.
28%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
48%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
49%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
20%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
20%
80°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-60s °F for Chicago on September 6, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure following a cooler air mass intrusion. This setup supports trader emphasis on the 61°F-or-below outcome at 34.5% implied probability, while nearby bins near 64–71°F cluster around 24–27% amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of several degrees. Historical September 6 averages near 63°F provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 60°F limit further cooling potential. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of overnight lows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-60s °F for Chicago on September 6, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure following a cooler air mass intrusion. This setup supports trader emphasis on the 61°F-or-below outcome at 34.5% implied probability, while nearby bins near 64–71°F cluster around 24–27% amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of several degrees. Historical September 6 averages near 63°F provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 60°F limit further cooling potential. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of overnight lows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-60s °F for Chicago on September 6, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure following a cooler air mass intrusion. This setup supports trader emphasis on the 61°F-or-below outcome at 34.5% implied probability, while nearby bins near 64–71°F cluster around 24–27% amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of several degrees. Historical September 6 averages near 63°F provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 60°F limit further cooling potential. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of overnight lows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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