Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms across Guangzhou on September 13 are limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered near 25–27°C. Official forecasts from multiple models show overnight lows in this narrow band, consistent with the subtropical monsoon pattern where dew points near 24–25°C and light variable winds prevent sharper drops. Historical September averages place the typical low at 24.4°C, but current moisture and storm activity support slightly elevated values, which explains the near-even market-implied odds among the top three outcomes. Updated model runs and evening observations will determine whether the minimum settles at 25°C, 26°C, or 27°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou no dia 13 de setembro?
26°C 48%
24°C 47%
23°C 10%
21°C 4%
20°C ou menos
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
47%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
49%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 48%
24°C 47%
23°C 10%
21°C 4%
20°C ou menos
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
47%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
49%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms across Guangzhou on September 13 are limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered near 25–27°C. Official forecasts from multiple models show overnight lows in this narrow band, consistent with the subtropical monsoon pattern where dew points near 24–25°C and light variable winds prevent sharper drops. Historical September averages place the typical low at 24.4°C, but current moisture and storm activity support slightly elevated values, which explains the near-even market-implied odds among the top three outcomes. Updated model runs and evening observations will determine whether the minimum settles at 25°C, 26°C, or 27°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions