**Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Jinan, driving the market’s near-certain consensus (99.5% implied probability) on a minimum of 22 °C or higher for August 26.** Multiple official and ensemble forecasts, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, project a nighttime low near 25–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with the ongoing heatwave where daytime maxima have reached 34–35 °C. High dew points near 24 °C further suppress temperature drops. The outcome would be challenged only by an unanticipated rapid clearing of clouds or an unforecasted cold-air intrusion, both considered low-probability events this late in the season given model consensus and current steering patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 26 de agosto?
22°C ou mais 100.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$5,043 Vol.
$5,043 Vol.
12°C ou menos
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C ou mais
Sim
22°C ou mais 100.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$5,043 Vol.
$5,043 Vol.
12°C ou menos
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C ou mais
Sim
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Jinan, driving the market’s near-certain consensus (99.5% implied probability) on a minimum of 22 °C or higher for August 26.** Multiple official and ensemble forecasts, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, project a nighttime low near 25–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with the ongoing heatwave where daytime maxima have reached 34–35 °C. High dew points near 24 °C further suppress temperature drops. The outcome would be challenged only by an unanticipated rapid clearing of clouds or an unforecasted cold-air intrusion, both considered low-probability events this late in the season given model consensus and current steering patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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