Official observations from LaGuardia Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F overnight into August 4, 2026, driving the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing warm, humid conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with above-average August temperatures across the Northeast. Historical baselines place typical NYC August minima near 68–72°F, and no significant frontal passages or cooling events altered the pattern. Resolution hinges on the official daily low reported by Weather Underground at the designated station; minor station-to-station variances or post-midnight drops remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though current data render those scenarios improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 4 de agosto?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$15,004 Vol.
$15,004 Vol.
4 ago 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$15,004 Vol.
$15,004 Vol.
4 ago 2026
59°F or below
$469 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$409 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$810 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$1,126 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$1,334 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$3,074 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,560 Vol.
Yes
72-73°F
$3,055 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,965 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$778 Vol.
No
78°F or higher
$424 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from LaGuardia Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F overnight into August 4, 2026, driving the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing warm, humid conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with above-average August temperatures across the Northeast. Historical baselines place typical NYC August minima near 68–72°F, and no significant frontal passages or cooling events altered the pattern. Resolution hinges on the official daily low reported by Weather Underground at the designated station; minor station-to-station variances or post-midnight drops remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though current data render those scenarios improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Volume
$15,004Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from LaGuardia Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F overnight into August 4, 2026, driving the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing warm, humid conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with above-average August temperatures across the Northeast. Historical baselines place typical NYC August minima near 68–72°F, and no significant frontal passages or cooling events altered the pattern. Resolution hinges on the official daily low reported by Weather Underground at the designated station; minor station-to-station variances or post-midnight drops remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though current data render those scenarios improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,004Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official observations from LaGuardia Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F overnight into August 4, 2026, driving the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing warm, humid conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with above-average August temperatures across the Northeast. Historical baselines place typical NYC August minima near 68–72°F, and no significant frontal passages or cooling events altered the pattern. Resolution hinges on the official daily low reported by Weather Underground at the designated station; minor station-to-station variances or post-midnight drops remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though current data render those scenarios improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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