Recent observational data and forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds as the main driver positioning 15°C as the dominant implied probability for Qingdao's September 10 minimum. Coastal influences from the Yellow Sea typically moderate extremes, yet current atmospheric stability has allowed temperatures to dip lower than the seasonal average low near 18–21°C. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on overnight trends, with no major frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Official station readings, including those from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, will confirm the exact threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 10 de setembro?
15°C 99.5%
14°C 20%
13°C ou menos 6%
16°C <1%
$1,448 Vol.
$1,448 Vol.
10 set 2026
13°C ou menos
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Sim
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C ou mais alta
Não
15°C 99.5%
14°C 20%
13°C ou menos 6%
16°C <1%
$1,448 Vol.
$1,448 Vol.
10 set 2026
13°C ou menos
$25 Vol.
Não
14°C
$62 Vol.
Não
15°C
$58 Vol.
Sim
16°C
$219 Vol.
Não
17°C
$503 Vol.
Não
18°C
$159 Vol.
Não
19°C
$65 Vol.
Não
20°C
$60 Vol.
Não
21°C
$35 Vol.
Não
22°C
$175 Vol.
Não
23°C ou mais alta
$86 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds as the main driver positioning 15°C as the dominant implied probability for Qingdao's September 10 minimum. Coastal influences from the Yellow Sea typically moderate extremes, yet current atmospheric stability has allowed temperatures to dip lower than the seasonal average low near 18–21°C. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on overnight trends, with no major frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Official station readings, including those from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, will confirm the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,448Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds as the main driver positioning 15°C as the dominant implied probability for Qingdao's September 10 minimum. Coastal influences from the Yellow Sea typically moderate extremes, yet current atmospheric stability has allowed temperatures to dip lower than the seasonal average low near 18–21°C. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on overnight trends, with no major frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Official station readings, including those from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, will confirm the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,448Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent observational data and forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds as the main driver positioning 15°C as the dominant implied probability for Qingdao's September 10 minimum. Coastal influences from the Yellow Sea typically moderate extremes, yet current atmospheric stability has allowed temperatures to dip lower than the seasonal average low near 18–21°C. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on overnight trends, with no major frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Official station readings, including those from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, will confirm the exact threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions