**Northerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors shaping overnight radiational cooling in Qingdao on September 9.** Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate a low near 18–20 °C under continued northerly flow that advects drier, cooler continental air over the Yellow Sea coast, limiting marine moderation. Model differences in wind persistence and cloud cover create a range of possible minima, with some guidance dipping to 16–17 °C if skies clear fully and winds weaken after midnight, while others hold near 19 °C. This scientific uncertainty—typical for short-range temperature forecasts influenced by local boundary-layer processes—explains the closely matched market-implied odds across 14–20 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the latest model runs and historical September nocturnal cooling rates against potential revisions before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 9 de setembro?
16°C 49%
14°C ou menos 35%
17°C 34%
18°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
14°C ou menos
35%
15°C
26%
16°C
49%
17°C
34%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C ou mais
8%
16°C 49%
14°C ou menos 35%
17°C 34%
18°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$30 Vol.
35%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$112 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
34%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$11 Vol.
26%
21°C
$50 Vol.
8%
22°C
$25 Vol.
1%
23°C
$50 Vol.
8%
24°C ou mais
$34 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors shaping overnight radiational cooling in Qingdao on September 9.** Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate a low near 18–20 °C under continued northerly flow that advects drier, cooler continental air over the Yellow Sea coast, limiting marine moderation. Model differences in wind persistence and cloud cover create a range of possible minima, with some guidance dipping to 16–17 °C if skies clear fully and winds weaken after midnight, while others hold near 19 °C. This scientific uncertainty—typical for short-range temperature forecasts influenced by local boundary-layer processes—explains the closely matched market-implied odds across 14–20 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the latest model runs and historical September nocturnal cooling rates against potential revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$312Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors shaping overnight radiational cooling in Qingdao on September 9.** Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate a low near 18–20 °C under continued northerly flow that advects drier, cooler continental air over the Yellow Sea coast, limiting marine moderation. Model differences in wind persistence and cloud cover create a range of possible minima, with some guidance dipping to 16–17 °C if skies clear fully and winds weaken after midnight, while others hold near 19 °C. This scientific uncertainty—typical for short-range temperature forecasts influenced by local boundary-layer processes—explains the closely matched market-implied odds across 14–20 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the latest model runs and historical September nocturnal cooling rates against potential revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$312Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors shaping overnight radiational cooling in Qingdao on September 9.** Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate a low near 18–20 °C under continued northerly flow that advects drier, cooler continental air over the Yellow Sea coast, limiting marine moderation. Model differences in wind persistence and cloud cover create a range of possible minima, with some guidance dipping to 16–17 °C if skies clear fully and winds weaken after midnight, while others hold near 19 °C. This scientific uncertainty—typical for short-range temperature forecasts influenced by local boundary-layer processes—explains the closely matched market-implied odds across 14–20 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the latest model runs and historical September nocturnal cooling rates against potential revisions before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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