Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns confirm a minimum temperature of 18°C in Qingdao on September 8, 2026, driven by clear skies, northerly winds around 4–5 m/s, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early autumn in the Yellow Sea region. This aligns with climatological baselines for September, where overnight lows often settle near 18–20°C absent strong advection or cloud cover. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, as real-time station data and ensemble model outputs show no deviation below or above the threshold once the diurnal minimum passed. An unseasonal cold front or measurement revision from official stations could still alter resolution, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before final verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 8 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 8 de setembro?
18°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$2,019 Vol.
$2,019 Vol.
8 set 2026
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Sim
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
18°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$2,019 Vol.
$2,019 Vol.
8 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$230 Vol.
Não
16°C
$208 Vol.
Não
17°C
$232 Vol.
Não
18°C
$218 Vol.
Sim
19°C
$163 Vol.
Não
20°C
$106 Vol.
Não
21°C
$174 Vol.
Não
22°C
$58 Vol.
Não
23°C
$513 Vol.
Não
24°C
$63 Vol.
Não
25°C ou mais
$58 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns confirm a minimum temperature of 18°C in Qingdao on September 8, 2026, driven by clear skies, northerly winds around 4–5 m/s, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early autumn in the Yellow Sea region. This aligns with climatological baselines for September, where overnight lows often settle near 18–20°C absent strong advection or cloud cover. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, as real-time station data and ensemble model outputs show no deviation below or above the threshold once the diurnal minimum passed. An unseasonal cold front or measurement revision from official stations could still alter resolution, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,019Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns confirm a minimum temperature of 18°C in Qingdao on September 8, 2026, driven by clear skies, northerly winds around 4–5 m/s, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early autumn in the Yellow Sea region. This aligns with climatological baselines for September, where overnight lows often settle near 18–20°C absent strong advection or cloud cover. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, as real-time station data and ensemble model outputs show no deviation below or above the threshold once the diurnal minimum passed. An unseasonal cold front or measurement revision from official stations could still alter resolution, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,019Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns confirm a minimum temperature of 18°C in Qingdao on September 8, 2026, driven by clear skies, northerly winds around 4–5 m/s, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early autumn in the Yellow Sea region. This aligns with climatological baselines for September, where overnight lows often settle near 18–20°C absent strong advection or cloud cover. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, as real-time station data and ensemble model outputs show no deviation below or above the threshold once the diurnal minimum passed. An unseasonal cold front or measurement revision from official stations could still alter resolution, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before final verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions