Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate minimum temperatures in Seoul and Incheon on August 16 will most likely settle near 24–25°C, driven by persistent late-summer warmth, elevated humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light winds. These conditions align with climatological baselines for mid-August, where typical lows range 22–26°C absent strong frontal passages or clear, dry air. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 46% and 33% implied probabilities for 24°C and 25°C, incorporates the latest short-range KMA updates showing stable patterns without significant cooling triggers. Upcoming model runs and any shifts in precipitation or wind forecasts through August 15 could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 16 de agosto?
24°C 44%
25°C 33%
23°C 15%
26°C 9%
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
15%
24°C
44%
25°C
33%
26°C
9%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 44%
25°C 33%
23°C 15%
26°C 9%
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
15%
24°C
44%
25°C
33%
26°C
9%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate minimum temperatures in Seoul and Incheon on August 16 will most likely settle near 24–25°C, driven by persistent late-summer warmth, elevated humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light winds. These conditions align with climatological baselines for mid-August, where typical lows range 22–26°C absent strong frontal passages or clear, dry air. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 46% and 33% implied probabilities for 24°C and 25°C, incorporates the latest short-range KMA updates showing stable patterns without significant cooling triggers. Upcoming model runs and any shifts in precipitation or wind forecasts through August 15 could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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