**Current forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, show the daily minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area stabilizing near 20°C overnight into September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no significant cold advection.** This positioning reflects consistent ensemble outputs placing the low between roughly 19–21°C, aligned with typical mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach the mid-20s°C before nocturnal cooling. Traders assign overwhelming probability to exactly 20°C because official station readings from Incheon International Airport and nearby sites are tracking closely with these projections, with minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated clear-sky radiative cooling event or a sharper-than-expected wind shift that drops readings to 18–19°C, though current pressure patterns and humidity levels make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 13 de setembro?
20°C 98%
18°C 6%
19°C 2%
17°C <1%
$10,493 Vol.
$10,493 Vol.
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
98%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou mais
<1%
20°C 98%
18°C 6%
19°C 2%
17°C <1%
$10,493 Vol.
$10,493 Vol.
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
98%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, show the daily minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area stabilizing near 20°C overnight into September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no significant cold advection.** This positioning reflects consistent ensemble outputs placing the low between roughly 19–21°C, aligned with typical mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach the mid-20s°C before nocturnal cooling. Traders assign overwhelming probability to exactly 20°C because official station readings from Incheon International Airport and nearby sites are tracking closely with these projections, with minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated clear-sky radiative cooling event or a sharper-than-expected wind shift that drops readings to 18–19°C, though current pressure patterns and humidity levels make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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