Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate overnight lows near 21–25°C for Tel Aviv on August 23 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with stable high pressure supporting modest nocturnal cooling moderated by the adjacent Mediterranean Sea. Coastal sea breezes, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover create narrow uncertainty ranges, as even small shifts in wind direction or marine layer depth can alter minimum readings by 2–4°C. Historical climatology shows August lows averaging 24–25°C, placing the market’s clustered probabilities around 26°C (32% implied) in line with ensemble model consensus while the spread across 21–31°C outcomes reflects unresolved variables in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat island effects ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tel Aviv em 23 de agosto?
26°C 56%
27°C 21%
22°C 19%
25°C 19%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
31%
27°C
21%
28°C
18%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 56%
27°C 21%
22°C 19%
25°C 19%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
31%
27°C
21%
28°C
18%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate overnight lows near 21–25°C for Tel Aviv on August 23 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with stable high pressure supporting modest nocturnal cooling moderated by the adjacent Mediterranean Sea. Coastal sea breezes, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover create narrow uncertainty ranges, as even small shifts in wind direction or marine layer depth can alter minimum readings by 2–4°C. Historical climatology shows August lows averaging 24–25°C, placing the market’s clustered probabilities around 26°C (32% implied) in line with ensemble model consensus while the spread across 21–31°C outcomes reflects unresolved variables in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat island effects ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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