**Stable atmospheric conditions and model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a daily minimum of 20°C in Tokyo on September 13.** Light southerly to easterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and mostly cloudy skies have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Ensemble forecasts and recent observations show the overnight low stabilizing near this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology where Tokyo minima typically range 20-23°C in mid-September. The 99% market-implied probability for 20°C reflects this tight clustering of official guidance and real-time data. A sudden shift in steering winds or an unexpected clear-sky period could allow additional cooling toward 19°C or below, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 13 de setembro?
20°C 99%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
17°C ou menos <1%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
20°C 99%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
17°C ou menos <1%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
17°C ou menos
$158 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$569 Vol.
1%
19°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,126 Vol.
99%
21°C
$3,109 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,917 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$869 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
27°C ou mais
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable atmospheric conditions and model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a daily minimum of 20°C in Tokyo on September 13.** Light southerly to easterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and mostly cloudy skies have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Ensemble forecasts and recent observations show the overnight low stabilizing near this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology where Tokyo minima typically range 20-23°C in mid-September. The 99% market-implied probability for 20°C reflects this tight clustering of official guidance and real-time data.
A sudden shift in steering winds or an unexpected clear-sky period could allow additional cooling toward 19°C or below, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$9,307Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable atmospheric conditions and model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a daily minimum of 20°C in Tokyo on September 13.** Light southerly to easterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and mostly cloudy skies have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Ensemble forecasts and recent observations show the overnight low stabilizing near this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology where Tokyo minima typically range 20-23°C in mid-September. The 99% market-implied probability for 20°C reflects this tight clustering of official guidance and real-time data.
A sudden shift in steering winds or an unexpected clear-sky period could allow additional cooling toward 19°C or below, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,307Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable atmospheric conditions and model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a daily minimum of 20°C in Tokyo on September 13.** Light southerly to easterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and mostly cloudy skies have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Ensemble forecasts and recent observations show the overnight low stabilizing near this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology where Tokyo minima typically range 20-23°C in mid-September. The 99% market-implied probability for 20°C reflects this tight clustering of official guidance and real-time data. A sudden shift in steering winds or an unexpected clear-sky period could allow additional cooling toward 19°C or below, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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