Traders see nearly equal implied probabilities for a Zhengzhou low of 15°C or below versus 25°C or higher on September 18 because current ensemble forecasts from regional models show substantial spread around the historical mid-September average overnight minimum near 17°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly flow versus any incoming northerly surge that could enhance radiational cooling under clearer skies, along with boundary-layer moisture levels that influence dew-point depression and minimum temperatures. With the date only hours away, the next model runs and observational updates from surface stations will likely narrow the range, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed can easily move the outcome across the closely contested thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Zhengzhou em 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Zhengzhou em 18 de setembro?
15°C ou menos 100%
25°C ou mais 98%
16°C 40%
17°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
15°C ou menos
100%
16°C
40%
17°C
39%
18°C
38%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C ou mais
98%
15°C ou menos 100%
25°C ou mais 98%
16°C 40%
17°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
100%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
38%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly equal implied probabilities for a Zhengzhou low of 15°C or below versus 25°C or higher on September 18 because current ensemble forecasts from regional models show substantial spread around the historical mid-September average overnight minimum near 17°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly flow versus any incoming northerly surge that could enhance radiational cooling under clearer skies, along with boundary-layer moisture levels that influence dew-point depression and minimum temperatures. With the date only hours away, the next model runs and observational updates from surface stations will likely narrow the range, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed can easily move the outcome across the closely contested thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly equal implied probabilities for a Zhengzhou low of 15°C or below versus 25°C or higher on September 18 because current ensemble forecasts from regional models show substantial spread around the historical mid-September average overnight minimum near 17°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly flow versus any incoming northerly surge that could enhance radiational cooling under clearer skies, along with boundary-layer moisture levels that influence dew-point depression and minimum temperatures. With the date only hours away, the next model runs and observational updates from surface stations will likely narrow the range, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed can easily move the outcome across the closely contested thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see nearly equal implied probabilities for a Zhengzhou low of 15°C or below versus 25°C or higher on September 18 because current ensemble forecasts from regional models show substantial spread around the historical mid-September average overnight minimum near 17°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly flow versus any incoming northerly surge that could enhance radiational cooling under clearer skies, along with boundary-layer moisture levels that influence dew-point depression and minimum temperatures. With the date only hours away, the next model runs and observational updates from surface stations will likely narrow the range, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed can easily move the outcome across the closely contested thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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